AU - Belmont Park - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

71.5K

VIEW

Verdict

RAINLINE (2) goes on top in the feature race after flying home to just miss in a photo finish at Northam last time out. This shapes differently however with Pike riding from a better barrier. She's third-up, poised to strike and rates very highly on her last start effort. Can get back to winning ways. GOD HAS DRIFTED (1) won three on-end before dropping the rider as the gates opened last start. His form prior was very strong and he's shown some versatility in the form. Riordan's claim comes in handy and he appears the main danger. TON OF GRUNT (4) hasn't won for a long time but went close to Rainline last start when only 0.2L off the winner last start at Northam. He rates highly on that form and this should shape nicely for him with the big field engaged. Can storm home late. BRAVE APACHE (8) is racing in good order and has the speed to cross from out wide. Will give them something to catch. STYLIN' (15) continues to improve with racing, though the wide barrier is a niggle.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up won by 4 len at Ascot Westspeed 0Mwly April 18 over 6f in soft going defeating Bartime carrying 120lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell 2nd of 12 at Northam Racing Wa Prov on May 3 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Cheryl's Shout carrying 129lbs at $3.20. Looks to get every chance for Pike and she can get back to winning ways. 1st Pick 2 Rainline Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Daniel & Ben Pearce J: William Pike T: Daniel & Ben Pearce	205	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up won by 4 len at Ascot Westspeed 0Mwly April 18 over 6f in soft going defeating Bartime carrying 120lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell 2nd of 12 at Northam Racing Wa Prov on May 3 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, nose behind Cheryl's Shout carrying 129lbs at $3.20. Looks to get every chance for Pike and she can get back to winning ways.
1	Last start didn't finish the race at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ May 2 over 6f. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.9 len at Pinjarra Scarpside Racing Wa Prov April 15 over 6f defeating Mighty Hosanna carrying 127lbs at $4.60. Dropped the rider at the start last start but put three on-end prior, ticks plenty of boxes. 2nd Pick 1 God Has Drifted Jockey: Natika Riordan Trainer: Paul Hunter J: Natika Riordan T: Paul Hunter	138	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start didn't finish the race at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ May 2 over 6f. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.9 len at Pinjarra Scarpside Racing Wa Prov April 15 over 6f defeating Mighty Hosanna carrying 127lbs at $4.60. Dropped the rider at the start last start but put three on-end prior, ticks plenty of boxes.
4	Last start 3rd of 12 at Northam Racing Wa Prov on May 3 over 6 ½f, slow going head behind Cheryl's Shout with 126lbs at $18. The run before that 6th of 13 at Pinjarra Scarpside Racing Wa Prov on April 15 over 6f, 4 len behind God Has Drifted carrying 127lbs at $26. Building nicely and is ready to strike now. 3rd Pick 4 Ton Of Grunt Jockey: Troy Turner Trainer: Rhys Radford J: Troy Turner T: Rhys Radford	94	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Last start 3rd of 12 at Northam Racing Wa Prov on May 3 over 6 ½f, slow going head behind Cheryl's Shout with 126lbs at $18. The run before that 6th of 13 at Pinjarra Scarpside Racing Wa Prov on April 15 over 6f, 4 len behind God Has Drifted carrying 127lbs at $26. Building nicely and is ready to strike now.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.