AU - Belmont Park - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

6.5f

Class 3

Turf

SOFT 5

19.5K

VIEW

Verdict

RANYX (4) felt the pinch first-up over this trip at Northam but should be better for that effort. While the wide draw looks a niggle, there doesn't seem to be a whole lot of speed in this race, so he can roll across to be prominent on settling. With his natural improvement, he'll take catching. TRUE BLUE BONDI (7) showed promising signs in his debut campaign, pulling up with an issue before the break. His latest trial was solid and Pike hops in the saddle for his first-up performance. Expecting a bold effort on resumption. SHOOTING SPIRIT (1) got a long way back first-up at Ascot and never got into the race, finishing 3.8L away. Back to this grade looks a good move and the 7lbs claim of ZJP comes in handy. Anticipating a much better run this time around. DON'T TRUST JUDAS (3) hit the line strongly first-up as a 30-1 chance and now gets CJP in the saddle. Won't be far away. ALASKALOT (2) will take plenty of benefit from the fresh run after a long break. Can improve again now.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 9 at Northam Cl3 on October 30 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Lieutenant Dunbar carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up second last of 9 at Ascot 3yo Hcp 60+ on April 26 over 7f, 12 len behind Awesome Boy with 121lbs at $21. Just felt the pinch fresh but he'll be much better for that effort. 1st Pick 4 Ranyx Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Daniel Morton J: Brad Parnham T: Daniel Morton	155	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 9 at Northam Cl3 on October 30 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Lieutenant Dunbar carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up second last of 9 at Ascot 3yo Hcp 60+ on April 26 over 7f, 12 len behind Awesome Boy with 121lbs at $21. Just felt the pinch fresh but he'll be much better for that effort.
7	Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last campaign second last of 13 at Bunbury Cl3 June 18 over 7f, soft track, 14 len behind Fifth Essence with 129lbs at $8.50. On debut second of 11 at this track Mdn March 26 over 6 ½f, 0.6 len behind Highland Flair carrying 126lbs at $2.30. Looks set for a positive return with Pike booked. 2nd Pick 7 True Blue Bondi Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Simon A Miller J: William Pike T: Simon A Miller	129	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Resuming after a five months break. Finished off last campaign second last of 13 at Bunbury Cl3 June 18 over 7f, soft track, 14 len behind Fifth Essence with 129lbs at $8.50. On debut second of 11 at this track Mdn March 26 over 6 ½f, 0.6 len behind Highland Flair carrying 126lbs at $2.30. Looks set for a positive return with Pike booked.
1	Second run back. First-up after five months 11th of 14 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on November 8 over 6f, 4 len behind Nicciana with 129lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track Cl3 on December 4 over 6f, long-neck behind Gold Flakes carrying 127lbs at $3.50. Easier here and he can run a much better race. 3rd Pick 1 Shooting Spirit Jockey: Zephen Johnston-Porter Trainer: Simon A Miller J: Zephen Johnston-Porter T: Simon A Miller	142	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 11th of 14 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on November 8 over 6f, 4 len behind Nicciana with 129lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track Cl3 on December 4 over 6f, long-neck behind Gold Flakes carrying 127lbs at $3.50. Easier here and he can run a much better race.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.