AU - Belmont Park - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

42.7K

VIEW

Verdict

CINQUE STELLE (2) is a very exciting mare, sprinting away with authority last start to win by 3.4L. Out to the mile now looks no issue and she can raise the bar once again with Pike sticking from a good draw. Looking for the hat-trick and she can continue her rise through the ranks. VEXATIOUS ROSE (8) couldn't make it a hat-trick of wins at this track and trip last time, finishing nicely to finish 1.1L off the winner. Two winners have come out of that since and O'Donnell sticks from a better draw. Right down in the weights here and she can put her best foot forward. HEAVEN SPECIFIED (3) got the job done third-up when finishing over the top to score a fortnight ago. Out to the mike for the first time is a good move and he maps to get every chance from he inside draw. Won't be far away. COSMIC WALTZ (7) is racing in good order and can feature again. OUR MATE ARCHIE (1) can improve coming back in trip.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Chasing a hat-trick. Last start won by 3.5 len at this track on August 8 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Get Out Mick with 123lbs at $3.80. Before that came from midfield and won by 2.5 len at Bunbury on July 30 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Swansee with 125lbs at $3.90. Looks a nice mare in the making and she can win again. 1st Pick 2 Cinque Stelle Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Steele Casey J: William Pike T: Steele Casey	196	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Last start won by 3.5 len at this track on August 8 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Get Out Mick with 123lbs at $3.80. Before that came from midfield and won by 2.5 len at Bunbury on July 30 over 5 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Swansee with 125lbs at $3.90. Looks a nice mare in the making and she can win again.
8	Most recently 3rd of 12 in a Grad Hcp 56+ at this track on August 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Belle Journee with 127lbs at $3.60. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Pinjarra Scarpside on July 22 over 1m defeating Publicise carrying 125lbs at $3.90. Racing in good order this campaign and should get her chance. 2nd Pick 8 Vexatious Rose Jockey: Shaun O'donnell Trainer: Jeremy Easthope J: Shaun O'donnell T: Jeremy Easthope	98	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 12 in a Grad Hcp 56+ at this track on August 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Belle Journee with 127lbs at $3.60. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Pinjarra Scarpside on July 22 over 1m defeating Publicise carrying 125lbs at $3.90. Racing in good order this campaign and should get her chance.
3	Recent form sound. Most recently won by a neck at this track on August 8 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating I Love Ya Money with 127lbs at $4. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 in a 3yo Hcp 61+ at this track on July 25 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Tidwell carrying 126lbs at $7. Too good last time out, with the inside draw and rise in trip making him an attractive propositon. 3rd Pick 3 Heaven Specified Jockey: Steven Parnham Trainer: Trevor Andrews J: Steven Parnham T: Trevor Andrews	115	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently won by a neck at this track on August 8 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating I Love Ya Money with 127lbs at $4. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 in a 3yo Hcp 61+ at this track on July 25 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Tidwell carrying 126lbs at $7. Too good last time out, with the inside draw and rise in trip making him an attractive propositon.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).