AU - Belmont Park - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.4f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

17.3K

VIEW

Verdict

MAJOR MAGNUS (2) missed narrowly two back before a 3L defeat last time out, over the mile at Pinjarra. CJP hops on board now and he strikes a winnable race this time around with the slight rise in trip suited again. Likely to get back in the run but he can finish over the top of his rivals. MERCURY RISING (5) steps out to 1 ¹/16m for the first time today after a solid performance behind a smart winner last time out at Bunbury. It wouldn't surprise to see him improve sharply being a lightly raced 3YO and out in trip for the first time. Can give some cheek. HANSELLE (6) is building toward a maiden win, finishing off well last start from the back of the pack. He's likely to be right back in the run again, but he's well placed with how he's improving. Won't be far away. VALANNE DAWN (10) finds the right race today and won't be far away. ROCKING IN VEGAS (1) is racing well and can't be discounted on his recent efforts.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Last start settled back and ran on when 6th of 11 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on June 24 over 1m, 3 len behind Miss Santa Corrs carrying 128lbs at $15. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on June 4 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Sassy Snippet with 128lbs at $31. Finds the right race today. 1st Pick 2 Major Magnus Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Brad Graham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Brad Graham	148	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start settled back and ran on when 6th of 11 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on June 24 over 1m, 3 len behind Miss Santa Corrs carrying 128lbs at $15. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on June 4 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Sassy Snippet with 128lbs at $31. Finds the right race today.
5	Last start 3rd of 13 at Bunbury Mdn on June 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Western Miss with 128lbs at $13. The run before that 6th of 13 at Pinjarra Scarpside 3yo Mdn on June 4 over 7f, 7 len behind Lady Money Talk with 126lbs at $14. Building nicely and looks suited by the rise in trip now. 2nd Pick 5 Mercury Rising Jockey: Shaun O'donnell Trainer: Robyn Lockwood J: Shaun O'donnell T: Robyn Lockwood	105	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Last start 3rd of 13 at Bunbury Mdn on June 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Western Miss with 128lbs at $13. The run before that 6th of 13 at Pinjarra Scarpside 3yo Mdn on June 4 over 7f, 7 len behind Lady Money Talk with 126lbs at $14. Building nicely and looks suited by the rise in trip now.
6	Most recently 6th of 14 at this track Mdn on June 17 over 1 m, slow going 2 len behind Enchanted Miss carrying 128lbs at $21. The run before that 3rd of 8 at Northam Cl1 on June 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Special Counsel carrying 130lbs at $31. Is better than he showed last start and can make his presence felt. 3rd Pick 6 Hanselle Jockey: Brandon Louis Trainer: A D Mathews J: Brandon Louis T: A D Mathews	92	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Most recently 6th of 14 at this track Mdn on June 17 over 1 m, slow going 2 len behind Enchanted Miss carrying 128lbs at $21. The run before that 3rd of 8 at Northam Cl1 on June 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Special Counsel carrying 130lbs at $31. Is better than he showed last start and can make his presence felt.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.