AU - Belmont Park - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

57.0K

VIEW

Verdict

WITH DISCRETION (2) didn't have the best of luck last start at this track and trip, missing by 1.7L as the odds-on favourite. His win two back was superb however and he's racing in top order with Pike sticking. Can stay out of trouble this time and get back to winning ways. SWEET SURRENDER (6) is knocking on the door of another win, missing by 0.4L here last week in an easier race. Her figures stack up to a race of this calibre though and she'll carry less weight today. Can make her presence felt once again. ROMMEO (4) got back to winning ways here a couple of weeks ago when scoring in a photo finish. Drawn better this time with O'Donnell hopping on board and he can be in the finish once again. SISU SPIRIT (5) is racing well and steps out to this trip for the first time. Fiore sticks and he creates plenty of interest. CHOLLIMA (3) was better last time and won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	At the latest run 5th of 10 in a Rtg 66+ at this track on August 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Rommeo with 125lbs at $1.90. The run before that favourite, settled well back, won by 2.25 len at this track on July 25 over 1 5/16m defeating Kisses From Kelly carrying 119lbs at $2.60. Didn't have the best of luck last time and can bounce back to winning ways. 1st Pick 2 With Discretion Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Michael Grantham J: William Pike T: Michael Grantham	190	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 10 in a Rtg 66+ at this track on August 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Rommeo with 125lbs at $1.90. The run before that favourite, settled well back, won by 2.25 len at this track on July 25 over 1 5/16m defeating Kisses From Kelly carrying 119lbs at $2.60. Didn't have the best of luck last time and can bounce back to winning ways.
6	Racing well recently. Last start 2nd of 10 in a Grad Hcp 56+ at this track on August 15 over 1 5/16m, long-neck behind Starwalker carrying 127lbs at $6.50. The start before that 2nd of 15 in a Rtg 54+ at Northam on July 23 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Warralea Lass carrying 130lbs at $6. Right on the cusp and can go one better today. 2nd Pick 6 Sweet Surrender Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Holly Nottle T: Michael Grantham	136	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 2nd of 10 in a Grad Hcp 56+ at this track on August 15 over 1 5/16m, long-neck behind Starwalker carrying 127lbs at $6.50. The start before that 2nd of 15 in a Rtg 54+ at Northam on July 23 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Warralea Lass carrying 130lbs at $6. Right on the cusp and can go one better today.
4	At the latest run won by a nose at this track on August 8 over 1m in soft going defeating Kisses From Kelly with 119lbs at $15. Before that 5th of 15 in a Rtg 66+ at this track on July 25 over 1 5/16m, 2.75 len behind With Discretion carrying 119lbs at $26. Good win last time and he can go on with the job. 3rd Pick 4 Rommeo Jockey: Shaun O'donnell Trainer: Clifford Green J: Shaun O'donnell T: Clifford Green	128	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run won by a nose at this track on August 8 over 1m in soft going defeating Kisses From Kelly with 119lbs at $15. Before that 5th of 15 in a Rtg 66+ at this track on July 25 over 1 5/16m, 2.75 len behind With Discretion carrying 119lbs at $26. Good win last time and he can go on with the job.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.