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6:04 AM

AU - Belmont Park - Race 2

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
17.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BOURBONONTHEROCKS (7) is on the cusp of a maiden win after going under by a head at Ascot as a well-supported favourite last start. He has already handled 7f and brings the strongest exposed maiden form, with the Northam debut also tying in well through Frosted Warrior. FROSTED WARRIOR (6) has genuine claims after a Bunbury third in Mdn grade where interference near the 1f added merit to the run, and he should be ready to produce again third-up. Parnham rides now and he looks to be trending the right way. RAKITIN (8) was never likely in the Simmonds and this shapes as a much different assignment to anything he's faced. Out in trip, blinkers on and an opportunity to improve sharply. WALLENBERG (2) resumes after over a year off, but two trials since racing, the latest a second at Belmont Park, give him a solid platform. His VIC form reads well for this. DIAMOND CHOUX (4) can bounce back despite a disappointing run last time.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Bourbonontherocks silk

Went within a head of breaking through at Ascot last week, travelling well before being nailed late as a well-supported favourite. That followed a solid debut third in a Northam Mdn where he beat Frosted Warrior, giving him the most reliable exposed form in this field. He is third-up, has already placed at 7f and his tactical versatility gives him every chance to convert.

1st Pick
7

Bourbonontherocks

Jockey: Brandon Louis

Trainer: Justine Erkelens

J: Brandon Louis

T: Justine Erkelens

210---50%1/1

Analysis

Went within a head of breaking through at Ascot last week, travelling well before being nailed late as a well-supported favourite. That followed a solid debut third in a Northam Mdn where he beat Frosted Warrior, giving him the most reliable exposed form in this field. He is third-up, has already placed at 7f and his tactical versatility gives him every chance to convert.

6
Frosted Warrior silk

Improved sharply third-up when third in a Mdn at Bunbury, beaten just over two lengths, and interference near the 1f gives the run extra merit. He was also held up near the same stage at Northam two back, so there has been more to both runs this campaign than the margins show. Chris Parnham taking over is a plus and his only 7f run produced a placing, putting him among the main chances.

2nd Pick
6

Frosted Warrior

Jockey: Chris Parnham

Trainer: Stefan Vahala

J: Chris Parnham

T: Stefan Vahala

118---34%2/1

Analysis

Improved sharply third-up when third in a Mdn at Bunbury, beaten just over two lengths, and interference near the 1f gives the run extra merit. He was also held up near the same stage at Northam two back, so there has been more to both runs this campaign than the margins show. Chris Parnham taking over is a plus and his only 7f run produced a placing, putting him among the main chances.

2
Wallenberg silk

Returns from a lengthy spell with two trials behind him, the latest a second at Belmont Park, so there is enough readiness to respect him fresh. He ended his last campaign fourth at Geelong as favourite after battling on fairly, and his previous Ballarat Synthetic second came despite a slow start and some interference. The 7lbs claim helps, blinkers come off, and his best Victorian form puts him right in this.

3rd Pick
2

Wallenberg

Jockey: Sharni Webster

Trainer: Glenn Webster

J: Sharni Webster

T: Glenn Webster

75---4%25/1

Analysis

Returns from a lengthy spell with two trials behind him, the latest a second at Belmont Park, so there is enough readiness to respect him fresh. He ended his last campaign fourth at Geelong as favourite after battling on fairly, and his previous Ballarat Synthetic second came despite a slow start and some interference. The 7lbs claim helps, blinkers come off, and his best Victorian form puts him right in this.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.