AU - Beaumont (Newcastle) - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

10.4f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 5

18.0K

VIEW

Verdict

BLUEBIRD BAY (1) is an improving gelding who should start to hit his straps now as he gets out to his right trip. Stalked the speed when a fighting third over 1 ³/16m at Newcastle. Reece Jones sticks and expected to play a leading role. GOLDEN SMILE (4) big improver at her second run back when a tenacious on-pace second over 1 ³/16m at Newcastle. Has further upside to come and shapes as the main danger from the sticky draw. CALZINO (3) relished the extra ground when he picked them up effortlessly for a solid Maiden win over 1 ¹/16m at Muswellbrook. Winning apprentice sticks and not to be underestimated. DEZIGNATION (8) is having his third career start and gives the impression he's looking for this distance range and further. Can race a little closer from the draw and take a hand in the finish.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Recent form sound. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Newcastle Cl1-Sw on November 30 over 1 ³/16m, 2.75 len behind Doradus with 130lbs at $2.80. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 13 at Scone Cl1-Sw on November 18 over 1m, neck behind Mount Bona with 130lbs at $5.50. Well placed. Thereabouts of late and doesn't have to improve much to win this. 1st Pick 1 Bluebird Bay Jockey: Reece Jones Trainer: Nacim Dilmi J: Reece Jones T: Nacim Dilmi	216	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Newcastle Cl1-Sw on November 30 over 1 ³/16m, 2.75 len behind Doradus with 130lbs at $2.80. The run before that gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 13 at Scone Cl1-Sw on November 18 over 1m, neck behind Mount Bona with 130lbs at $5.50. Well placed. Thereabouts of late and doesn't have to improve much to win this.
4	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming led to the turn then faded 6th of 9 at Gosford Cl1-Sw on November 11 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Santatime carrying 126lbs at $10. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Newcastle Cl1-Sw on November 30 over 1 ³/16m, 1.1 len behind Doradus with 126lbs at $9. Shapes as the main danger. 2nd Pick 4 Golden Smile Jockey: Andrew Gibbons Trainer: Kris Lees J: Andrew Gibbons T: Kris Lees	153	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming led to the turn then faded 6th of 9 at Gosford Cl1-Sw on November 11 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Santatime carrying 126lbs at $10. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Newcastle Cl1-Sw on November 30 over 1 ³/16m, 1.1 len behind Doradus with 126lbs at $9. Shapes as the main danger.
3	Most recently settled well back, won by 0.9 len at Muswellbrook Mdn November 28 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Questionable carrying 120lbs at $13. The run before that 9th of 14 at Scone Mdn-Sw on November 18 over 7f, 4 len behind Crathie Kirk with 127lbs at $51. Leading contender again in this stronger contest. 3rd Pick 3 Calzino Jockey: Tilly Mccarroll Trainer: Scott Singleton J: Tilly Mccarroll T: Scott Singleton	149	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Most recently settled well back, won by 0.9 len at Muswellbrook Mdn November 28 over 1 ¹/16m defeating Questionable carrying 120lbs at $13. The run before that 9th of 14 at Scone Mdn-Sw on November 18 over 7f, 4 len behind Crathie Kirk with 127lbs at $51. Leading contender again in this stronger contest.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.