AU - Beaudesert - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Class 2

Turf

GOOD 4

19.4K

VIEW

Verdict

SEQUEL (8) wasn't far away two back over this distance at Doomben then backed up seven days later and tired late over 6 ¾f at the same venue. Better placed back to this trip and the blinkers going on at the fourth run back suggests the stable is all in today. SNUGG (3) came from last at one stage to be beaten under a length when resuming over 5f at Dalby last time out. Lightly raced four-year-old who will get back again from a wide draw but is one to watch for late over the extra 1f. LEBANESE (6) went hard early and couldn't finish the race off when resuming over this course and distance 25 days ago. Scored second-up last prep over this trip at Ipswich. Likely improver. PRIVATE SHOWTIME (11) can bounce back off a two-month let-up. Beaten a whisker here at this trip two runs back which is a strong form reference. DUSHENKA (2) might be a big improver second-up with a host of gear changes.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	At the latest run raced on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 10 at Doomben Cl1-Sw on June 24 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Automne Tree with 127lbs at $5.50. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Doomben 3yo Bm65 on June 17 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Moshulu Spirit carrying 123lbs at $10. Worth another chance with the blinkers going back on. 1st Pick 8 Sequel Jockey: Tahlia Fenlon Trainer: Chris & Corey Munce J: Tahlia Fenlon T: Chris & Corey Munce	155	-	-	-	50%
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 10 at Doomben Cl1-Sw on June 24 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Automne Tree with 127lbs at $5.50. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Doomben 3yo Bm65 on June 17 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Moshulu Spirit carrying 123lbs at $10. Worth another chance with the blinkers going back on.
3	Second run back. First-up after five months 2nd of 10 at Dalby Bm62 on June 18 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Mr Wandji with 128lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Dalby Mdn on September 20 over 5f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Manpower with 122lbs at $8. Big chance with that run under the belt. 2nd Pick 3 Snugg Jockey: Sean Cormack Trainer: Tom Dougall J: Sean Cormack T: Tom Dougall	135	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 2nd of 10 at Dalby Bm62 on June 18 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Mr Wandji with 128lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up 5th of 9 at Dalby Mdn on September 20 over 5f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Manpower with 122lbs at $8. Big chance with that run under the belt.
5	Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 9 at Sunshine Coast Bm58 on June 21 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Moonan Quartz with 130lbs at $7. Previously second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 9 at Gold Coast Mdn on January 23 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Ancient Scent with 126lbs at $10. Shaping up nicely and is sure to be thereabouts. 3rd Pick 5 El Centro Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Jeff Dunn J: Non Runner T: Jeff Dunn	118	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 3rd of 9 at Sunshine Coast Bm58 on June 21 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Moonan Quartz with 130lbs at $7. Previously second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 9 at Gold Coast Mdn on January 23 over 5 ½f, 2.5 len behind Ancient Scent with 126lbs at $10. Shaping up nicely and is sure to be thereabouts.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.