AU - Barcaldine - Race 6

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

10.4K

VIEW

Verdict

I'M ZAC (9) has notched up two dirt track wins in a row, the latest scoring by 1.2 lengths at Longreach over 5 ½f three weeks ago. Hard to knock on recent form and is expected to go well again from the favourable draw. BOLD SMUGGLER (11) started at $6 last time and ran below expectations, finishing fifth and beaten 4.5 lengths at Alpha over 6f. Well placed and there is no reason why he cannot find winning ways. TOKYO SINS (8) was a winner on dirt over 5f at Clermont two back then followed up with a minor placing, also on dirt, over 5f at Alpha more recently. John Rudd sticks in the saddle and is sure to be competitive. SCORCHED LAND (4) grows a leg for hoop Faehr who is yet to miss a drum in seven steers. Cannot be discounted lightly.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	At the latest run won by 1.2 len at Longreach Cl5 June 15 over 5 ½f defeating Peninsula with 139lbs at $3.90. Before that won by a nose at Tambo Bm60 May 30 over 6f defeating Outback Bandit carrying 142lbs at $3.10. Going well and is one of the leading chances. 1st Pick 9 I'm Zac Jockey: Nikki Olzard Trainer: Henry Forster J: Nikki Olzard T: Henry Forster	257	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis At the latest run won by 1.2 len at Longreach Cl5 June 15 over 5 ½f defeating Peninsula with 139lbs at $3.90. Before that won by a nose at Tambo Bm60 May 30 over 6f defeating Outback Bandit carrying 142lbs at $3.10. Going well and is one of the leading chances.
11	Last start 5th of 7 at Alpha Cl6-Sw on June 27 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Peninsula carrying 137lbs at $6. Before that 3rd of 9 at this track Cl6-Sw on May 19 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Little Cointreau with 137lbs at $7. Terrific chance to return to form. 2nd Pick 11 Bold Smuggler Jockey: Sarah Robbins Trainer: Patrick O'toole J: Sarah Robbins T: Patrick O'toole	135	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Last start 5th of 7 at Alpha Cl6-Sw on June 27 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Peninsula carrying 137lbs at $6. Before that 3rd of 9 at this track Cl6-Sw on May 19 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Little Cointreau with 137lbs at $7. Terrific chance to return to form.
8	Most recently 3rd of 10 at Alpha Hcp on June 27 over 5f, long-neck behind The Squire carrying 123lbs at $10. Before that won by 2.5 len at Clermont Bm65 June 20 over 5f defeating Miss Moneypenny carrying 136lbs at $5. Looks a key runner. 3rd Pick 8 Tokyo Sins Jockey: John Rudd Trainer: Rodney Little J: John Rudd T: Rodney Little	86	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 10 at Alpha Hcp on June 27 over 5f, long-neck behind The Squire carrying 123lbs at $10. Before that won by 2.5 len at Clermont Bm65 June 20 over 5f defeating Miss Moneypenny carrying 136lbs at $5. Looks a key runner.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.