AU - Ballina - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

21.2K

VIEW

Verdict

DANCE GAVIN DANCE (1) recorded two comfortable wins over today's course and distance then was thrown in the deep end in the Group 3 Gold Coast Guineas last start and failed. Back in a more suitable race today and can return to winning ways. DEEP STEALTH (6) caught the eye when fresh from a spell over this trip at Port Macquarie last time out, making up many lengths to be beaten narrowly. Loves racing here and has placed at both second-up runs. Hard to fault the profile. BACK ON DE QUO (3) is a track specialist coming off an eight-week freshen-up. Must be considered carefully along with GOT THE SMARTS (9) who strips fitter second-up and is not out of calculations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Last start ran last of 14 at Gold Coast in the G3 Gc Guineas on May 9 over 6f, 12 len behind Beadman with 126lbs at $151. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.5 len at this track Ctry Cl1 April 14 over 5f defeating Too Hot To Torque carrying 127lbs at $3.40. Finds a nice race and is worth another chance. 1st Pick 1 Dance Gavin Dance Jockey: Brandon Lerena Trainer: Owen Glue J: Brandon Lerena T: Owen Glue	174	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Comes here off a 30-day let-up. Last start ran last of 14 at Gold Coast in the G3 Gc Guineas on May 9 over 6f, 12 len behind Beadman with 126lbs at $151. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.5 len at this track Ctry Cl1 April 14 over 5f defeating Too Hot To Torque carrying 127lbs at $3.40. Finds a nice race and is worth another chance.
6	Second run back. First-up after five months 2nd of 7 at Port Macquarie Ctry Cl1 on May 18 over 5f, on heavy track, head behind I'm Super with 125lbs at $4. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at this track Cl1 on October 5 over 6 ¼f, nose behind National Interest with 121lbs at $5. Sure to be right there at the business end. 2nd Pick 6 Deep Stealth Jockey: Jett Newman Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Jett Newman T: Matthew Dunn	148	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 2nd of 7 at Port Macquarie Ctry Cl1 on May 18 over 5f, on heavy track, head behind I'm Super with 125lbs at $4. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at this track Cl1 on October 5 over 6 ¼f, nose behind National Interest with 121lbs at $5. Sure to be right there at the business end.
2	Second-up. Comes off a 55-day let-up. First-up after four months led but faded 3rd of 7 at this track Bm58 Cl2+ on April 14 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Geegee Jet By with 130lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up won by 3.5 len at Grafton Mdn November 5 over 5f defeating Insta Worthy with 127lbs at $2.25. Shaping up nicely and is one of the chances. 3rd Pick 2 Prestige Pak Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Stephen & Jordan Lee J: Non Runner T: Stephen & Jordan Lee	112	-	-	-	14%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. Comes off a 55-day let-up. First-up after four months led but faded 3rd of 7 at this track Bm58 Cl2+ on April 14 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Geegee Jet By with 130lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up won by 3.5 len at Grafton Mdn November 5 over 5f defeating Insta Worthy with 127lbs at $2.25. Shaping up nicely and is one of the chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.