AU - Ascot - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

8.9f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

88.4K

VIEW

Verdict

FLY WITH CAUTION (12) just missed over this course and distance last start when bumping into a good one 35 days ago. Comes into this on the fresh side, but he tends to do his best work that way and he still has plenty of upside. Steve Parnham rides now and he can go one better in the feature. REDBACK FLYER (13) gritted his teeth to fend off his rivals over the mile last time out and looks better suited getting out in trip today. He'll need some luck from the outside barrier, but he drops in weight and does possess some tactical speed. Continues to build and can repeat the dose. FAMOUS DAIN (11) jumped the $1.85 favourite in the Ascot Mile last time out when a touch disappointing when sitting on the speed. Out in trip again now is the query, but he brings in some strong form and he's not out of this from a good draw. SILVER EYE (6) has to be included as he eyes off the hat-trick. ROCKING SOCIETY (7) resumes here off a good effort in the Perth Cup and is worth thought.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
12	Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 at this track Rtg 70+ on January 17 over 1m, head behind Our Paladin Al with 132lbs at $4.20. The run before that 5th of 10 at this track Rtg 70+ on January 1 over 1m, 2 len behind Battle Commander carrying 132lbs at $15. Continuing to build this campaign and looks ready to go one better. 1st Pick 12 Fly With Caution Jockey: Steven Parnham Trainer: Robert & Kate Witten J: Steven Parnham T: Robert & Kate Witten	123	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 8 at this track Rtg 70+ on January 17 over 1m, head behind Our Paladin Al with 132lbs at $4.20. The run before that 5th of 10 at this track Rtg 70+ on January 1 over 1m, 2 len behind Battle Commander carrying 132lbs at $15. Continuing to build this campaign and looks ready to go one better.
13	Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, won by a nose at this track Rtg 66+ January 31 over 1m defeating Cashel Palace with 127lbs at $3.80. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at this track W/Speed Mile on December 20 over 1m, 2 len behind Auto Cruise carrying 127lbs at $8. Showed his fighting qualities last time out and the rise in trip is a big tick. 2nd Pick 13 Redback Flyer Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Michael Lane J: Chris Parnham T: Michael Lane	148	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, won by a nose at this track Rtg 66+ January 31 over 1m defeating Cashel Palace with 127lbs at $3.80. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at this track W/Speed Mile on December 20 over 1m, 2 len behind Auto Cruise carrying 127lbs at $8. Showed his fighting qualities last time out and the rise in trip is a big tick.
11	Racing well recently. Most recently 4th in a small field at this track Ascot Mile on January 31 over 1m, 3 len behind Battle Commander carrying 125lbs at $1.85. The run before that favourite, won by a nose at this track Rtg 66+ January 24 over 7f defeating Dug Another Hole with 126lbs at $5. Ticks plenty of boxes here and can make his presence felt. 3rd Pick 11 Famous Dain Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Daniel & Ben Pearce J: Brad Parnham T: Daniel & Ben Pearce	107	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 4th in a small field at this track Ascot Mile on January 31 over 1m, 3 len behind Battle Commander carrying 125lbs at $1.85. The run before that favourite, won by a nose at this track Rtg 66+ January 24 over 7f defeating Dug Another Hole with 126lbs at $5. Ticks plenty of boxes here and can make his presence felt.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.