AU - Ascot - Race 8

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

8.9f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

133.9K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

LUVNWAR (3) has placed in her last two runs, most recently finishing third over 1m in the LR Starstruck Classic here nearly 3 weeks ago. The extra furlong will help her, and with the advantage of a superior gate, she can take this out. NOTEWORTHY (5) was 2 lengths back in sixth over 1m at this track two-and-a-half weeks ago and steps up to a more suitable trip for her peak run. She handles any rack conditions and can bounce straight back into the money here. FUNCHAL (8) is consistent but has struggled to win another race, with just one victory from 12 starts. She was close up in fourth in stakes company over 1 ?m here 15 days ago, and William Pike keeps the faith. Stick with her on an each-way basis. MEMORY PARADE (7) was well beaten last start over 1m, but she has not had much luck in her last 3 starts. With a softer trip, she would not be a shock winner. MACHINE GUN GRACIE (1) finished strongly to finish fourth last time out. The extra furlong is ideal. Each-way.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Form hard to fault. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at this track in the LR Starstruck on December 13 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Storyville carrying 125lbs at $4.20. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 3rd of 16 at this track in the LR Jungle Dawn on November 29 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Toropa with 125lbs at $3.70. Hard to fault and can go on with it. 1st Pick 3 Luvnwar Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	152	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at this track in the LR Starstruck on December 13 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Storyville carrying 125lbs at $4.20. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 3rd of 16 at this track in the LR Jungle Dawn on November 29 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Toropa with 125lbs at $3.70. Hard to fault and can go on with it.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up came from midfield and won by a long-neck at this track Rtg 72+ November 22 over 7f defeating Awesome Boy with 126lbs at $15. Second run from a spell 6th of 11 at this track in the LR Starstruck on December 13 over 1m, 2 len behind Storyville with 121lbs at $8. Racing well. Key runner who is a great chance to atone. 2nd Pick 5 Noteworthy Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Chris Parnham T: Michael Grantham	142	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up came from midfield and won by a long-neck at this track Rtg 72+ November 22 over 7f defeating Awesome Boy with 126lbs at $15. Second run from a spell 6th of 11 at this track in the LR Starstruck on December 13 over 1m, 2 len behind Storyville with 121lbs at $8. Racing well. Key runner who is a great chance to atone.
8	Last start 4th of 9 at this track in the LR Ata on December 17 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Playhouse Patron with 119lbs at $5. The run before that eased back early on 7th of 11 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 29 over 1m, 5 len behind Forever Boy with 125lbs at $4. Can turn things around. 3rd Pick 8 Funchal Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	158	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 4th of 9 at this track in the LR Ata on December 17 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Playhouse Patron with 119lbs at $5. The run before that eased back early on 7th of 11 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 29 over 1m, 5 len behind Forever Boy with 125lbs at $4. Can turn things around.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.