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7:45 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 7

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
53.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MAGNA'S CHOICE (9) ran third here two starts ago before stepping up to win by over a length as favourite over 7 ½f at this track last time out nearly 3 weeks ago. William Pike was aboard for that win and stays on. Well placed to repeat the dose. ARCADIA PARK (2) completed a hat-trick of wins to end his 3-year-old season, and resumes over a mile with 2 solid trials under his belt. Hard to beat. ARCADIA KNIGHT (1) is a very handy gelding who is resuming from a spell that would have done him the world of good. He has had a couple of tune-up trials and can give this a shake. OUR PALADIN AL (4) scored last start over 7f at this track and has an impressive record at the trip with 2 wins from 3 starts. Teams up again with Steven Parnham, who's won twice from 5 rides on him. Stick with him. FLY WITH CAUTION (3) resumed three-and-a-half weeks ago, looming up on the turn before finishing a sound sixth over 7f here. He improves quickly with racing and with the blinkers on. He can win.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Magna's Choice silk

Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.4 len at this track Rtg 66+ December 13 over 7 ½f defeating Dug Another Hole carrying 122lbs at $2.60. The start before that 3rd of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 29 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Mississippi Dawn with 127lbs at $8. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

1st Pick
9

Magna's Choice

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Trevor Andrews

J: William Pike

T: Trevor Andrews

171---34%2/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.4 len at this track Rtg 66+ December 13 over 7 ½f defeating Dug Another Hole carrying 122lbs at $2.60. The start before that 3rd of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 29 over 1m, 1.1 len behind Mississippi Dawn with 127lbs at $8. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

2
Arcadia Park silk

Resuming. Finished off last campaign by 1.3 len Belmont Park LR Bel Classic July 26 over 1m slow track defeating Fancy Red with 126lbs at $2.35. First up last campaign fourth of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl3 May 28 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Azena carrying 125lbs at $17. Might be better off following this run.

2nd Pick
2

Arcadia Park

Jockey: Chanel Cooper

Trainer: Michael Grantham

J: Chanel Cooper

T: Michael Grantham

97---8%13/1

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last campaign by 1.3 len Belmont Park LR Bel Classic July 26 over 1m slow track defeating Fancy Red with 126lbs at $2.35. First up last campaign fourth of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl3 May 28 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Azena carrying 125lbs at $17. Might be better off following this run.

1
Arcadia Knight silk

Resuming after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation won by 1.0 len Belmont Park Rtg 72+ August 30 over 1m slow track defeating Street Band with 123lbs at $2.50. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 1.75 len Pinjarra Rtg 66+ June 21 over 7f on heavy track defeating Regal Statue carrying 119lbs at $13. Prefer to see how he returns.

3rd Pick
1

Arcadia Knight

Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Michael Grantham

J: Clint Johnston-Porter

T: Michael Grantham

118---12%15/2

Analysis

Resuming after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation won by 1.0 len Belmont Park Rtg 72+ August 30 over 1m slow track defeating Street Band with 123lbs at $2.50. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 1.75 len Pinjarra Rtg 66+ June 21 over 7f on heavy track defeating Regal Statue carrying 119lbs at $13. Prefer to see how he returns.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.