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7:49 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 7

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
70.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LONDON'S IMAGE (1) just missed over 7f in the Bunbury Stakes most recently when beaten by Bonjoy who went on with the job following that run. Back to 6f now is a big tick and this looks to set up nicely for her off a short freshen. Fiore knows her well and she can get back to winning ways. BLACK ORA (7) was very good fresh when flying home to just miss over 5f, and we'll get a guide on that form earlier in the card. Pike rides her down in the weights and she steps out to 6f for the first time in a while. The inside draw can see her sit a touch closer and she'll be hard to hold out if the gaps come. CESSATION (6) will be fitter for the fresh run in the Rock Magic Stakes and is better suited out to this trip now. Has enough speed to roll across from out wide and can be in this for a long way. FAST FLICKER (3) is hard to knock on recent form and can feature once again. PETULA (2) can improve sharply with the blinkers going on today.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
London's Image silk

Recent form sound. Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 14 at Bunbury in the LR Bunbury Stakes on March 7 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Bonjoy carrying 127lbs at $4. The race before that settled well back, won by a head at Pinjarra Scarpside LR Pinjarra Clsc February 22 over 6 ½f defeating Talkanco with 123lbs at $6. Well placed here on her recent efforts and she can get back to winning ways.

1st Pick
1

London's Image

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Grant & Alana Williams

222---27%11/4

Analysis

Recent form sound. Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 14 at Bunbury in the LR Bunbury Stakes on March 7 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Bonjoy carrying 127lbs at $4. The race before that settled well back, won by a head at Pinjarra Scarpside LR Pinjarra Clsc February 22 over 6 ½f defeating Talkanco with 123lbs at $6. Well placed here on her recent efforts and she can get back to winning ways.

7
Black Ora silk

Second run back. First-up after three months 2nd of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on March 21 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Tycoon Harry carrying 127lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up settled well back, won by 0.7 len at this track Rtg 66+ October 18 over 5f defeating The Calabrese carrying 123lbs at $5. Strong late first-up and can go one better if she can stretch out to 6f.

2nd Pick
7

Black Ora

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Adam Durrant

J: William Pike

T: Adam Durrant

162---34%2/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after three months 2nd of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on March 21 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Tycoon Harry carrying 127lbs at $4.60. Previously second-up settled well back, won by 0.7 len at this track Rtg 66+ October 18 over 5f defeating The Calabrese carrying 123lbs at $5. Strong late first-up and can go one better if she can stretch out to 6f.

6
Cessation silk

Second-up. First-up after three months 3rd in a small field at this track Rock Magic on March 21 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Oscar's Fortune carrying 117lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at this track Rtg 76+ on October 25 over 5f, slow going 0.5 len behind Too Dardy with 119lbs at $3.10. Hard to knock on her fresh effort and can make a statement.

3rd Pick
6

Cessation

Jockey: Luke Campbell

Trainer: Tiarnna Noske

J: Luke Campbell

T: Tiarnna Noske

143---25%3/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after three months 3rd in a small field at this track Rock Magic on March 21 over 5f, 2.5 len behind Oscar's Fortune carrying 117lbs at $4.20. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at this track Rtg 76+ on October 25 over 5f, slow going 0.5 len behind Too Dardy with 119lbs at $3.10. Hard to knock on her fresh effort and can make a statement.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.