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8:59 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 9

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.9f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
81.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CAPTAIN PLUTO (5) settled last in the Northam Cup and couldn't reel in the all-the-way leader. He was still very impressive there however and today looks to set up beautifully third-up and out in distance. Can hold a better position in the run this time and he can bounce back to winning ways. FILTHY HABITS (7) comes here first-up, though he'll be fitter for three trials coming in. He'll be on the speed from a good draw and he'll carry no weight. Just missed first-up last campaign and his trials suggest he can run a bold race on resumption. RED SUN SENSATION (6) ran well fresh before leading and winning the Northam Cup last start over the mile. Out in trip again today, but should be able to settle on the speed and if he can dictate the tempo, he'll be hard to run down again. SENSESSIONAL (4) steps up in trip again today which won't pose an issue and he's in the mix on recent form. BUCKETS RIDGE (1) was solid first-up and is better suited today.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Captain Pluto silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 6th of 12 at this track Rtg 78+ on October 11 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Bruce Almighty carrying 126lbs at $12. Second run from a spell ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 12 at Northam in the LR Northam Cup on October 26 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Red Sun Sensation carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Finishing fast in the Northam Cup and the set up looks favourable.

1st Pick
5

Captain Pluto

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams

J: William Pike

T: Grant & Alana Williams

178---43%11/8

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 6th of 12 at this track Rtg 78+ on October 11 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Bruce Almighty carrying 126lbs at $12. Second run from a spell ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 12 at Northam in the LR Northam Cup on October 26 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Red Sun Sensation carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Finishing fast in the Northam Cup and the set up looks favourable.

7
Filthy Habits silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last campaign won by nose this track Rogan Josh May 3 over 1 5/16m slow track defeating Fat Roy Slim with 120lbs at $2.05. First up last campaign second of 8 at Bunbury Rtg 66+ March 8 over 1 m, 0.6 len behind Above The Peg with 132lbs at $5. Three trials in readiness for this and he can put his best foot forward.

2nd Pick
7

Filthy Habits

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Brandon Fiore

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Brandon Fiore

94---13%7/1

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last campaign won by nose this track Rogan Josh May 3 over 1 5/16m slow track defeating Fat Roy Slim with 120lbs at $2.05. First up last campaign second of 8 at Bunbury Rtg 66+ March 8 over 1 m, 0.6 len behind Above The Peg with 132lbs at $5. Three trials in readiness for this and he can put his best foot forward.

6
Red Sun Sensation silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Rtg 78+ on October 11 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Bruce Almighty carrying 126lbs at $21. Last start won by 0.7 len at Northam LR Northam Cup October 26 over 1m defeating Multinational carrying 119lbs at $10. Can give them something to run down once again from the front.

3rd Pick
6

Red Sun Sensation

Jockey: Patrick Carbery

Trainer: Sue Olive

J: Patrick Carbery

T: Sue Olive

142---16%11/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Rtg 78+ on October 11 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Bruce Almighty carrying 126lbs at $21. Last start won by 0.7 len at Northam LR Northam Cup October 26 over 1m defeating Multinational carrying 119lbs at $10. Can give them something to run down once again from the front.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.