AU - Ascot - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

40.2K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

TERRITORY MAN (6) followed a solid third when fresh from a spell at Belmont with a win as the favourite over 7f here two weeks ago, scoring by nearly a length. There is more depth to this field, but William Pike sticks with him, and so do we. SUPER ROMANI (1) was out of the money, but not far away when resuming over 7f at this track last start. He usually improves with racing, and with a drop in class, with the aid of a 7lbs claim, he can figure in the top three this time. BLACK FOR CASH (5) ran fourth, just over a length away over 7f here two weeks ago, and steps up to a more suitable trip this time. He will be running on strongly, and can have the last say here. MY HARV (9) resumed over 7 ½f here last start, sitting on the pace before kicking clear to win by half a length. There is more depth to this field, but she is stronger this season and can be competitive again. CLASSIC IMPACT (10) will find this easier than her last couple of starts, so don't risk her at decent odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today. First-up ran on from midfield, 3rd of 16 at Belmont Park Cl1 on December 3 over 6 ½f, long-neck behind Glanced carrying 132lbs at $4.80. Second-up favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at this track 0Mwly December 17 over 7f defeating Rally The Troops carrying 121lbs at $1.70. Fitter and is right in this. 1st Pick 6 Territory Man Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	201	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up ran on from midfield, 3rd of 16 at Belmont Park Cl1 on December 3 over 6 ½f, long-neck behind Glanced carrying 132lbs at $4.80. Second-up favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at this track 0Mwly December 17 over 7f defeating Rally The Troops carrying 121lbs at $1.70. Fitter and is right in this.
1	Second run back. First-up after 16 months ran last of 10 at this track 0Mwly on December 17 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Territory Man carrying 126lbs at $61. Previously second-up eased back early on 7th of 11 at this track Rtg 66+ on May 11 2024 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Allez Allez carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Expect a far better result this time. 2nd Pick 1 Super Romani Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Daniel & Ben Pearce J: Holly Nottle T: Daniel & Ben Pearce	111	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after 16 months ran last of 10 at this track 0Mwly on December 17 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Territory Man carrying 126lbs at $61. Previously second-up eased back early on 7th of 11 at this track Rtg 66+ on May 11 2024 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Allez Allez carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Expect a far better result this time.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 11th of 16 at Belmont Park Cl3 on December 3 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Itzabeast with 126lbs at $26. Second run from a spell 4th of 10 at this track 0Mwly on December 17 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Territory Man carrying 125lbs at $21. Racing well. Sure to prove hard to hold out. 3rd Pick 5 Black For Cash Jockey: Brandon Louis Trainer: Justine Erkelens J: Brandon Louis T: Justine Erkelens	108	-	-	-	8%	13/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 11th of 16 at Belmont Park Cl3 on December 3 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Itzabeast with 126lbs at $26. Second run from a spell 4th of 10 at this track 0Mwly on December 17 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Territory Man carrying 125lbs at $21. Racing well. Sure to prove hard to hold out.

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A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

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A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

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