AU - Ascot - Race 6

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

56.6K

VIEW

Verdict

LILLIAN (5) sat handy last start over 1 ?m and was too strong late, winning by 0.3L. Getting out in trip now looks ideal for her and she still has plenty of upside. Can put herself close to the speed once again for CJP and with further improvement expected, she makes the most appeal. KIMBERLEY ROSE (3) ran over the top to score over this course and distance, winning by 1.2L. Brad Parnham remains in the saddle and she remains in the same grade. Trending the right way and can go back-to-back. LATE ARRIVAL (4) was scratched last week due to a stable mishap, but that's only a minor issue. The inside draw should see him on the speed from a good draw again and he's sure to make his presence felt. AUDIO BOY (6) is another who looks to be knocking on the door of a maiden win. Nottle's claim and an inside draw are both ticks and he won't be far away again. SNAZZLER (1) is right back in grade here and is not to be discounted.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by a neck at this track Grad Hcp 58+ February 7 over 1m defeating Classic Impact with 128lbs at $3.90. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.2 len at this track Cl3 January 14 over 7 ½f defeating Golden Kathleen carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Nice mare who continues to raise the bar this campaign. 1st Pick 5 Lillian Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	134	-	-	-	40%	6/4
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by a neck at this track Grad Hcp 58+ February 7 over 1m defeating Classic Impact with 128lbs at $3.90. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.2 len at this track Cl3 January 14 over 7 ½f defeating Golden Kathleen carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Nice mare who continues to raise the bar this campaign.
3	Racing well recently. At the latest run won by 1.2 len at this track Rtg 65+ February 7 over 1m defeating Late Arrival carrying 125lbs at $3.50. The start before that 2nd of 12 at this track 0Mwly on January 28 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Planet Cash with 127lbs at $3. Too good last time out and can go on with the job. 2nd Pick 3 Kimberley Rose Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Stephen Miller J: Brad Parnham T: Stephen Miller	135	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run won by 1.2 len at this track Rtg 65+ February 7 over 1m defeating Late Arrival carrying 125lbs at $3.50. The start before that 2nd of 12 at this track 0Mwly on January 28 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Planet Cash with 127lbs at $3. Too good last time out and can go on with the job.
4	Racing well recently. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at this track Rtg 65+ on February 7 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Kimberley Rose with 125lbs at $7.50. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl5 on January 15 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Planet Cash carrying 131lbs at $5. Ticks a few boxes from an inside draw and won't be far away. 3rd Pick 4 Late Arrival Jockey: Taj Dyson Trainer: Karen Kersley J: Taj Dyson T: Karen Kersley	90	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at this track Rtg 65+ on February 7 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Kimberley Rose with 125lbs at $7.50. Before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl5 on January 15 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Planet Cash carrying 131lbs at $5. Ticks a few boxes from an inside draw and won't be far away.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.