AU - Ascot - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

42.3K

VIEW

Verdict

TOO DARN STORMY (4) was off a freshen last start when only 0.4L off the winner at this track and trip when narrowly beaten as the race favourite. He's right on the cusp of another win and he's showing plenty of talent in defeat. Pike rides again now third-up and he can go one better. OURGIRLCANRUN (10) couldn't hold on when setting the tempo first-up, beaten by a smart one who has since won again. Bolted in second-up last campaign though when firing across from a wide draw. She's down in the weights and can be tough to catch with her added fitness. FIRST BEACH (3) couldn't hold on when leading throughout in a similar race here 10 days ago. Too Darn Stormy was in that race also and he meets that runner better at the weights. Drawn better this time and can build on his handy second-up record. COUNTRY GOD (2) looks better suited coming back in trip today and can play a leading role. DESERT LIFE (9) won't be far away from a good draw.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Third-up today. First-up 4th of 10 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 31 over 5 ½f, 0.7 len behind Avoidance with 123lbs at $2.15. Second run from a spell ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on April 1 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Maalis Song carrying 125lbs at $2.30. Not far away last start and she can strike third-up and with Pike on board. 1st Pick 4 Too Darn Stormy Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Daniel Morton J: William Pike T: Daniel Morton	184	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 4th of 10 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 31 over 5 ½f, 0.7 len behind Avoidance with 123lbs at $2.15. Second run from a spell ran on from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on April 1 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Maalis Song carrying 125lbs at $2.30. Not far away last start and she can strike third-up and with Pike on board.
10	Second-up. First-up after four months 4th in a small field at this track 3yo Hcp 62+ on March 21 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Holler Nuff with 121lbs at $3.50. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 6 len win at Belmont Park Mdn October 22 over 6f on a soft track defeating Gabex with 119lbs at $2.50. Tired late fresh but improved sharply second-up last campaign. 2nd Pick 10 Ourgirlcanrun Jockey: Holly Watson Trainer: Mitchell Pateman J: Holly Watson T: Mitchell Pateman	120	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 4th in a small field at this track 3yo Hcp 62+ on March 21 over 6f, 1.1 len behind Holler Nuff with 121lbs at $3.50. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 6 len win at Belmont Park Mdn October 22 over 6f on a soft track defeating Gabex with 119lbs at $2.50. Tired late fresh but improved sharply second-up last campaign.
3	Second-up. First-up after five months gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on April 1 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind Maalis Song with 127lbs at $6. Previously second-up won by 0.7 len at this track Grad Hcp 60+ October 18 over 6f defeating Magna's Choice with 122lbs at $16. Good return effort and he can build on that performance. 3rd Pick 3 First Beach Jockey: Steven Parnham Trainer: Chris & Michael Gangemi J: Steven Parnham T: Chris & Michael Gangemi	93	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on April 1 over 6f, slow going 0.8 len behind Maalis Song with 127lbs at $6. Previously second-up won by 0.7 len at this track Grad Hcp 60+ October 18 over 6f defeating Magna's Choice with 122lbs at $16. Good return effort and he can build on that performance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.