AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

52.8K

VIEW

Verdict

SHMOOV MOOVA (8) was caught wide off a freshen last start and stuck on well enough behind the impressive Smooth Chino. Blinkers go on now as does Pike, with the gelding dropping 5kgs today. Fitter for that effort and he can return to his best form in this event which will see him very hard to beat. ANGEL UNDERCOVER (4) sat up on the speed last start but capitulated and finished well back. Her win two back was very strong from off speed and suspect that's how she'll be ridden today. Nicely weighted after the claim of ZJP and she can bounce back. KAPTAIN KAOS (3) is racing in good order and has tackled some strong races in recent times, finishing 3.7L off Cosmic Crusader most recently. The inside draw should see him get every chance and it wouldn't surprise to see him end his winning drought. FLY WITH CAUTION (5) resumes from a long break without a trial but is a very nice horse in the making. Keep safe. SILVER EYE (6) is next best out to 7f.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second run back. First-up after two months 5th of 15 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 22 over 6f, 4 len behind Smooth Chino with 130lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Belmont Park Rtg 71+ on August 23 over 6f, slow going head behind Desert Nymph with 122lbs at $2.50. Caught wide fresh and tired late, but he'll be better for that run and this looks a good spot for him. 1st Pick 8 Shmoov Moova Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Simon A Miller J: William Pike T: Simon A Miller	165	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Second run back. First-up after two months 5th of 15 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 22 over 6f, 4 len behind Smooth Chino with 130lbs at $4.80. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Belmont Park Rtg 71+ on August 23 over 6f, slow going head behind Desert Nymph with 122lbs at $2.50. Caught wide fresh and tired late, but he'll be better for that run and this looks a good spot for him.
4	At the latest run raced on the pace before fading second last of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 22 over 7f, 6 len behind Noteworthy carrying 127lbs at $9. The race before that won by 0.9 len at this track Rtg 66+ November 8 over 7f defeating Sixinch Heels carrying 129lbs at $13. Disappointed last time out but can turn that form around. 2nd Pick 4 Angel Undercover Jockey: Zephen Johnston-Porter Trainer: Sean & Jake Casey J: Zephen Johnston-Porter T: Sean & Jake Casey	171	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis At the latest run raced on the pace before fading second last of 12 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 22 over 7f, 6 len behind Noteworthy carrying 127lbs at $9. The race before that won by 0.9 len at this track Rtg 66+ November 8 over 7f defeating Sixinch Heels carrying 129lbs at $13. Disappointed last time out but can turn that form around.
3	Form hard to fault. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at this track in the LR Carbine Club on November 22 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 121lbs at $71. Before that 4th of 9 at Kalgoorlie in the LR Hannans on October 2 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Multinational with 120lbs at $12. Racing well of late and should get every chance off the inside. 3rd Pick 3 Kaptain Kaos Jockey: Troy Turner Trainer: Jeremy Easthope J: Troy Turner T: Jeremy Easthope	133	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 10 at this track in the LR Carbine Club on November 22 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Cosmic Crusader with 121lbs at $71. Before that 4th of 9 at Kalgoorlie in the LR Hannans on October 2 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Multinational with 120lbs at $12. Racing well of late and should get every chance off the inside.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.