AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

55.1K

VIEW

Verdict

THE CRIMSON PIRATE (8) sat handy in the Roberts last time out when the favourite, but didn't see out the extra journey. His run in the Piper was massive and that rates highly in this field. This shapes similarly back to the mile today and he can return to winning ways. FANCY RED (1) won over the mile two back, beating Asif when sitting on the speed before jumping favourite in the Bunbury Cup last time out. She was good there despite going under, with the drop back to the mile looking ideal. Nottle's claim comes in handy and she should get every chance. ANTIQUE STAR (5) brings some different form into this and looks poised to strike third-up where she's won 2/3. Out to the mile is a big tick and she looks to get plenty of favours from the draw. She makes plenty of appeal. REDBACK FLYER (6) disappointed at Bunbury but he's much better than that. Can return to form. ASIF (4) can put his best foot forward returning to this trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Form hard to fault. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 13 at this track in the LR J C Roberts on March 14 over 1m, 2 len behind Aberdeen Flyer with 123lbs at $3.10. The run before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.5 len at this track LR L Piper February 28 over 1m defeating Aberdeen Flyer with 119lbs at $3.90. Comes through a strong race and back to the mile can see him return to winning ways. 1st Pick 8 The Crimson Pirate Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Daniel Morton J: Lucy Fiore T: Daniel Morton	200	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 13 at this track in the LR J C Roberts on March 14 over 1m, 2 len behind Aberdeen Flyer with 123lbs at $3.10. The run before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.5 len at this track LR L Piper February 28 over 1m defeating Aberdeen Flyer with 119lbs at $3.90. Comes through a strong race and back to the mile can see him return to winning ways.
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 13 at Bunbury in the LR Bunbury Cup on March 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.4 len behind Arcadia Park with 127lbs at $3.50. The race before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len at this track Rtg 72+ February 28 over 1m defeating Asif carrying 128lbs at $2.10. Not beaten far in the Bunbury Cup and looks to get her chance. 2nd Pick 1 Fancy Red Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Adam Durrant J: Holly Nottle T: Adam Durrant	163	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 13 at Bunbury in the LR Bunbury Cup on March 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.4 len behind Arcadia Park with 127lbs at $3.50. The race before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len at this track Rtg 72+ February 28 over 1m defeating Asif carrying 128lbs at $2.10. Not beaten far in the Bunbury Cup and looks to get her chance.
5	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 2nd in a small field at Pinjarra Rtg 72+ on February 14 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Platinum Shot with 122lbs at $2.15. Second run from a spell 5th of 10 at Bunbury Rtg 72+ on March 7 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Avoidance carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Has good third-up form and brings some different form into this. 3rd Pick 5 Antique Star Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Brad Parnham T: Michael Grantham	122	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 2nd in a small field at Pinjarra Rtg 72+ on February 14 over 7f, 1.1 len behind Platinum Shot with 122lbs at $2.15. Second run from a spell 5th of 10 at Bunbury Rtg 72+ on March 7 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Avoidance carrying 123lbs at $3.50. Has good third-up form and brings some different form into this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.