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6:28 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
54.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WESTBOUND (2) settled last 21 days ago but closed steadily when beaten 3.2L. Pike now hops on board as he rises to the mile and he maps to sit much closer in the run. Laid the foundations fresh and can now explode second-up. LINCHPIN (10) scored impressively last start at 7f, kicking away to score by 1.2L. Up in grade and distance here, but he drops in weight and the last start figure stacks right up. He's a big danger if he can run to that level again. WESTERN LADY (13) is another who got back on resumption and closed soundly, ending up 2.8L off Rock Fest over 7f. She's another who will relish the rise to a mile and she looks in for a solid campaign. STREET BAND (12) has trialled nicely since his latest effort and out to the mile now looks a big tick. Can make an impression. MASMELO (11) can improve third-up and on the quick turnaround.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Westbound silk

Resumed with an eighth at this track, beaten just over three lengths after blundering at the start and settling too far back to threaten. That run should bring him on, and his second in the Listed Belmont Classic at Belmont Park before that reads strongly for this grade. Well suited here and he looks a sharp improver.

1st Pick
2

Westbound

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Michael Grantham

J: William Pike

T: Michael Grantham

208---45%5/4

Analysis

Resumed with an eighth at this track, beaten just over three lengths after blundering at the start and settling too far back to threaten. That run should bring him on, and his second in the Listed Belmont Classic at Belmont Park before that reads strongly for this grade. Well suited here and he looks a sharp improver.

10
Linchpin silk

Put the writing on the wall with a second first-up, then delivered as a well-supported favourite at this track, beating Joyoh by just over a length in NMW1Y grade on soft ground. He drops 9lbs from that win and is now third-up, which gives him a strong platform. Last start win stacks up and he can keep the ball rolling.

2nd Pick
10

Linchpin

Jockey: Brad Parnham

Trainer: Darren Mcauliffe

J: Brad Parnham

T: Darren Mcauliffe

98---11%17/2

Analysis

Put the writing on the wall with a second first-up, then delivered as a well-supported favourite at this track, beating Joyoh by just over a length in NMW1Y grade on soft ground. He drops 9lbs from that win and is now third-up, which gives him a strong platform. Last start win stacks up and he can keep the ball rolling.

13
Western Lady silk

Resumed with a seventh at this track, beaten just under three lengths after settling well back and being hampered from the ¾f. Her previous run was a dominant three-length BM66+ win at this venue as a very short odds-on favourite, so there is stronger form beneath the fresh result. Out to the mile is a big tick and she can make her presence felt.

3rd Pick
13

Western Lady

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Michael Grantham

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Michael Grantham

106---20%4/1

Analysis

Resumed with a seventh at this track, beaten just under three lengths after settling well back and being hampered from the ¾f. Her previous run was a dominant three-length BM66+ win at this venue as a very short odds-on favourite, so there is stronger form beneath the fresh result. Out to the mile is a big tick and she can make her presence felt.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.