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7:33 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
8f
Class 1
Turf
GOOD 4
21.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FREE TO FLY (5) sat handy and got the job done when winning by 1L when out to 7 ½f at this track last time out. The wide draw is the query, but she has enough speed to roll across and the mile now doesn't look an issue. Looks ready to go on with the job now. MIDNIGHT STAR (3) won well first-up over this trip at Pinjarra when winning by 1.5L. That form has already been franked and she maps to get every chance from the draw. Wouldn't surprise to see her repeat the dose. JAVELIN STRIKE (2) got over the top to win at Pinjarra most recently. Will need some luck from the draw, but he's on the rise and can continue to work through the grades. THINK QUICK (6) is better suited getting out to this distance now and can improve. BUCKLAND (11) is next best.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Free To Fly silk

Form hard to fault. Last start won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn April 29 over 7 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Miss Santa Corrs with 122lbs at $3.40. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on April 15 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Mysterious Fortune carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Too good last week and she looks ready to go on with the job now.

1st Pick
5

Free To Fly

Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Simon A Miller

J: Clint Johnston-Porter

T: Simon A Miller

140---31%9/4

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start won by 1.0 len at this track Mdn April 29 over 7 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Miss Santa Corrs with 122lbs at $3.40. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn on April 15 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Mysterious Fortune carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Too good last week and she looks ready to go on with the job now.

3
Midnight Star silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn April 27 over 1m defeating King Of The Town with 123lbs at $3. The run before that 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn on April 3 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Universal Impact with 123lbs at $1.60. Should get every chance from the draw and she can repeat the dose.

2nd Pick
3

Midnight Star

Jockey: Cassey Martinan

Trainer: Michael Grantham

J: Cassey Martinan

T: Michael Grantham

185---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn April 27 over 1m defeating King Of The Town with 123lbs at $3. The run before that 3rd of 11 at this track Mdn on April 3 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Universal Impact with 123lbs at $1.60. Should get every chance from the draw and she can repeat the dose.

2
Javelin Strike silk

Last start came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Pinjarra Mdn April 8 over 1m defeating Bhullar carrying 128lbs at $3.50. The run before that 6th of 12 at Belmont Park Cl1 on April 2 over 1m, 4 len behind Myzoom carrying 127lbs at $17. Needs a touch of luck from the barrier but he rates highly on his recent win.

3rd Pick
2

Javelin Strike

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Lou Luciani

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Lou Luciani

109---10%9/1

Analysis

Last start came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Pinjarra Mdn April 8 over 1m defeating Bhullar carrying 128lbs at $3.50. The run before that 6th of 12 at Belmont Park Cl1 on April 2 over 1m, 4 len behind Myzoom carrying 127lbs at $17. Needs a touch of luck from the barrier but he rates highly on his recent win.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.