AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

57.3K

VIEW

Verdict

BAKEEL (1) needed the run off a long break fresh before a much better effort last start over 7f. Out to the mile now where he jumped favourite in Listed company 12 months ago. Needs some luck from the draw, but he's a handy type who looks ready to explode. ROCK 'N' THE JAM (11) is another who was off a long break, jumping favourite in his first two runs back. He still has plenty of upside and he was a big winner at the mile before the long spell. Third-up now, out in trip and he's drawn nicely. Down in the weights and he looks the main danger with his upside. ANTIQUE STAR (10) draws the inside now for Berry and can feature on the back of a strong effort last start. AVOIDANCE (2) is some query at the trip but has to be included on recent form.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 10 at Bunbury Rtg 72+ on March 7 over 7f, 6 len behind Avoidance carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on April 4 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Avoidance carrying 132lbs at $4.80. Improved sharply last start and looks poised to strike third-up and out in trip. 1st Pick 1 Bakeel Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: Lucy Fiore T: Grant & Alana Williams	180	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 10 at Bunbury Rtg 72+ on March 7 over 7f, 6 len behind Avoidance carrying 126lbs at $4.60. Second-up raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on April 4 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Avoidance carrying 132lbs at $4.80. Improved sharply last start and looks poised to strike third-up and out in trip.
11	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 4th of 11 at this track Rtg 66+ on February 28 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Malletier carrying 125lbs at $3.50. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on April 4 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Avoidance carrying 119lbs at $2.45. Won his only attempt over this course and distance and he looks set to peak third-up. 2nd Pick 11 Rock 'n' The Jam Jockey: Tyler Schiller Trainer: Russell Stewart J: Tyler Schiller T: Russell Stewart	85	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 4th of 11 at this track Rtg 66+ on February 28 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Malletier carrying 125lbs at $3.50. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on April 4 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Avoidance carrying 119lbs at $2.45. Won his only attempt over this course and distance and he looks set to peak third-up.
6	Racing well recently. Last start from last on the turn 4th of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on April 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind King Hit with 123lbs at $20. Before that 4th of 10 at Bunbury Rtg 72+ on March 7 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Avoidance carrying 125lbs at $21. Gets plenty in her favour here and she can bounce back to winning ways without surprising. 3rd Pick 6 Miss Skyhigh Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: Non Runner T: Grant & Alana Williams	183	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start from last on the turn 4th of 8 at this track Rtg 72+ on April 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind King Hit with 123lbs at $20. Before that 4th of 10 at Bunbury Rtg 72+ on March 7 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Avoidance carrying 125lbs at $21. Gets plenty in her favour here and she can bounce back to winning ways without surprising.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.