AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

42.0K

VIEW

Verdict

SOUTHERN FIRETAIL (10) flew home from a mile back a fortnight ago when racing over the mile. He rates highly on his last two efforts and this presents as a great opportunity for him to go to another level. Pike hops back on board and he can return to winning ways. LILLIAN (4) finished off impressively when midfield in the run last start over 7 ½f. Out in trip now third-up into the campaign and she profiles well for a race of this calibre. Can go back-to-back. TRIPLE THE CHANT (1) couldn't finish off last start over the mile third-up when getting further back than expected. He didn't have the best of luck on straightening either and a better showing is anticipated. MY HARV (5) was too good last start in easier company and can feature in the finish again. WAR MATTERS (6) is looking for the hat-trick and has to be included.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Form hard to fault. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 12 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 24 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Great Fortune with 119lbs at $7. The race before that won by 2 len at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn January 15 over 1m defeating Rare Honor with 125lbs at $2.45. Looks primed getting out in this trip now and he makes plenty of appeal. 1st Pick 10 Southern Firetail Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Adam Durrant J: William Pike T: Adam Durrant	163	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 12 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 24 over 1m, 1.2 len behind Great Fortune with 119lbs at $7. The race before that won by 2 len at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn January 15 over 1m defeating Rare Honor with 125lbs at $2.45. Looks primed getting out in this trip now and he makes plenty of appeal.
4	Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 12 at Geraldton Rtg 58+ on December 27 over 6f, head behind Sparkle Corner carrying 127lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell came from midfield and won by 1.2 len at this track Cl3 January 14 over 7 ½f defeating Golden Kathleen carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Impressive win last time out and she can go on with the job. 2nd Pick 4 Lillian Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	137	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 12 at Geraldton Rtg 58+ on December 27 over 6f, head behind Sparkle Corner carrying 127lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell came from midfield and won by 1.2 len at this track Cl3 January 14 over 7 ½f defeating Golden Kathleen carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Impressive win last time out and she can go on with the job.
1	At the latest run 6th of 12 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 24 over 1m, 3 len behind Great Fortune with 127lbs at $2.30. The start before that 4th of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 10 over 7f, 2 len behind Stylish Lord with 128lbs at $9. Just plain when fancied last start but she can put her best foot forward here. 3rd Pick 1 Triple The Chant Jockey: Joey Azzopardi Trainer: Simon A Miller J: Joey Azzopardi T: Simon A Miller	148	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 12 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 24 over 1m, 3 len behind Great Fortune with 127lbs at $2.30. The start before that 4th of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 10 over 7f, 2 len behind Stylish Lord with 128lbs at $9. Just plain when fancied last start but she can put her best foot forward here.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.