AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

10.9f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

20.6K

VIEW

Verdict

GLANCED (2) is progressing nicely this time in work despite a 3.8L defeat over 1 ?m here last time out. She steps out in trip again today, but draws better in this easier assignment. Ticks plenty of boxes in this event and looks to have found her race. DANDY FLIRT (11) jumped a $1.65 fave last start at Bunbury when breaking her maiden in impressive fashion. She's a 3YO on the way up and she creates plenty of interest with her last two starts being her best runs over this trip. Wide draw is the query but she may just be too progressive. MODELISTIC (4) flew home to just miss over this track and trip a fortnight ago to continue her good run of recent form. Has to contend with a wide draw once again, but she's sure to be flying late. LET SPARKS FLY (3) disappointed lasts tart but is better than she showed there. Has the speed to offset the draw and will be in this for a long way. ETERNAL ROMANCE (13) can improve getting out to this trip now with CJP on board.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Most recently 5th of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 56+ on January 17 over 1m, 4 len behind Invincible Thief with 123lbs at $17. The run before that 3rd of 8 at Bunbury Cl3 on December 28 over 1 m, 1.1 len behind Shazair carrying 126lbs at $7. Easier here and she can get the job done. 1st Pick 2 Glanced Jockey: Chanel Cooper Trainer: Raquel Williams J: Chanel Cooper T: Raquel Williams	95	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently 5th of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 56+ on January 17 over 1m, 4 len behind Invincible Thief with 123lbs at $17. The run before that 3rd of 8 at Bunbury Cl3 on December 28 over 1 m, 1.1 len behind Shazair carrying 126lbs at $7. Easier here and she can get the job done.
11	Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and scored a big 3 len win at Bunbury Mdn January 11 over 1m defeating She's Resolute carrying 120lbs at $1.65. The start before that 2nd of 10 at Bunbury Mdn on December 28 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Electric Bec with 120lbs at $9.50. Too good last start and she can go on with the job now. 2nd Pick 11 Dandy Flirt Jockey: Shaun O'donnell Trainer: Brett Mathews J: Shaun O'donnell T: Brett Mathews	107	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and scored a big 3 len win at Bunbury Mdn January 11 over 1m defeating She's Resolute carrying 120lbs at $1.65. The start before that 2nd of 10 at Bunbury Mdn on December 28 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Electric Bec with 120lbs at $9.50. Too good last start and she can go on with the job now.
4	Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 12 at this track Rtg 54+ on January 14 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Flinders Lane with 122lbs at $8.50. The start before that 2nd of 11 at Pinjarra Rtg 54+ on December 31 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Amazing Cheat carrying 121lbs at $10. Well placed. Watch for her late in the race. 3rd Pick 4 Modelistic Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Neville Parnham J: Brad Parnham T: Neville Parnham	87	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 12 at this track Rtg 54+ on January 14 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Flinders Lane with 122lbs at $8.50. The start before that 2nd of 11 at Pinjarra Rtg 54+ on December 31 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Amazing Cheat carrying 121lbs at $10. Well placed. Watch for her late in the race.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

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A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.