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7:05 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7.5f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
41.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ON PATROL (2) got a long way back last start but closed off strongly to be 2.2L off the winner over 6f. He ticks plenty of boxes here being third-up with Pike hopping on board and rising to a more suitable distance. Can return to winning ways. RALLY THE TROOPS (3) is better than we saw last start when the equal fav, finishing 2L off the winner over 7f here. Chris Parnham rides now from a much better gate, so he can sit closer this time. On the quick turnaround and can feature. SUPERFLUOUS (8) has been flying home lately and looks well placed here third-up into the campaign. This is a tougher race, but he looks to be trending the right way and he can sit closer than he has done in recent events. Can put his best foot forward. TOURETTO (6) just missed last start over the mile here and has to be included on the back of that effort. RAPID ROCK (7) can sit closer this time around and a forward showing is expected.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
On Patrol silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 9 at this track Westspeed Plat on January 1 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Later Alligator with 126lbs at $12. Last start 4th of 12 at this track 0Mwly on January 14 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Let's Talk carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Ticks plenty of boxes today and can return to winning ways.

1st Pick
2

On Patrol

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Sean & Jake Casey

J: William Pike

T: Sean & Jake Casey

192---29%5/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 9 at this track Westspeed Plat on January 1 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Later Alligator with 126lbs at $12. Last start 4th of 12 at this track 0Mwly on January 14 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Let's Talk carrying 125lbs at $4.80. Ticks plenty of boxes today and can return to winning ways.

3
Rally The Troops silk

Last start got back early 6th of 10 at this track Rtg 66+ on January 24 over 7f, 2 len behind Famous Dain with 122lbs at $5. Before that 3rd of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 10 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Stylish Lord with 130lbs at $8. On the quick turnaround and can bounce back to his best.

2nd Pick
3

Rally The Troops

Jockey: Chris Parnham

Trainer: Daniel & Ben Pearce

J: Chris Parnham

T: Daniel & Ben Pearce

148---29%5/2

Analysis

Last start got back early 6th of 10 at this track Rtg 66+ on January 24 over 7f, 2 len behind Famous Dain with 122lbs at $5. Before that 3rd of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 10 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Stylish Lord with 130lbs at $8. On the quick turnaround and can bounce back to his best.

8
Superfluous silk

Third-up today. First-up eased back early on 5th of 10 at Pinjarra Cl1 on January 3 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Cantrix carrying 128lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 3rd of 10 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl3 on January 15 over 6 ½f, 1.5 len behind Magical Sequence with 131lbs at $8.50. Third-up now and poised to strike.

3rd Pick
8

Superfluous

Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Simon A Miller

J: Clint Johnston-Porter

T: Simon A Miller

131---17%5/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up eased back early on 5th of 10 at Pinjarra Cl1 on January 3 over 6 ½f, 2.25 len behind Cantrix carrying 128lbs at $5. Second run from a spell 3rd of 10 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl3 on January 15 over 6 ½f, 1.5 len behind Magical Sequence with 131lbs at $8.50. Third-up now and poised to strike.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.