AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.9f

Class 3

Turf

SOFT 5

20.8K

VIEW

Verdict

AZABELLE (2) led and just missed over 1 m at Bunbury last time out when on the quick turnaround. She'll carry less weight today and steps up in trip for just the second time. Rates highly on her last start effort and can go one better this time around. ANTZ PANTZ BABY (7) jumps right out in trip now, though she should have a solid enough fitness base to do so. She closed off nicely over 7f at Bunbury last time out and the inside draw should see her get every chance in running. Looks set for a bold run getting out to a more suitable trip today. OISIN (1) beat home Azabelle last start and meets that galloper worse at the weights this time around. He'll be on speed again from the draw which is always a positive however, and if he can dictate the speed then he'll be tough to reel in. ELEGANT INDI (5) was solid last start in tougher grade after a good win fresh. Big chance with Pike reuniting. ANNIE WARBUCKS (6) has to be included following a nice last start effort.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 10 at Bunbury Cl3 on January 21 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Oisin carrying 125lbs at $3.70. The race before that 10th of 12 at this track Cl3 on January 14 over 7 ½f, 9 len behind Lillian with 121lbs at $3.60. Bounced back to form last start and rates highly on the back of that performance. 1st Pick 2 Azabelle Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Fred Kersley J: Holly Nottle T: Fred Kersley	131	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 10 at Bunbury Cl3 on January 21 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Oisin carrying 125lbs at $3.70. The race before that 10th of 12 at this track Cl3 on January 14 over 7 ½f, 9 len behind Lillian with 121lbs at $3.60. Bounced back to form last start and rates highly on the back of that performance.
7	Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 13 at Bunbury Cl1 on January 21 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Elvira Star carrying 129lbs at $5.50. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Bunbury Cl1 on January 11 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Pure Silver with 128lbs at $17. At her peak now and can land the knockout blow. 2nd Pick 7 Antz Pantz Baby Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Brandon Fiore J: Lucy Fiore T: Brandon Fiore	94	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 13 at Bunbury Cl1 on January 21 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Elvira Star carrying 129lbs at $5.50. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 11 at Bunbury Cl1 on January 11 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Pure Silver with 128lbs at $17. At her peak now and can land the knockout blow.
1	Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len at Bunbury Cl3 January 21 over 1 m defeating Azabelle with 129lbs at $6.50. The race before that couldn't go on with it, ran last of 8 at Pinjarra Rtg 50+ on December 21 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Let Sparks Fly with 132lbs at $3.30. Can set the tempo and will take some catching. 3rd Pick 1 Oisin Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Stephen Miller J: Brad Parnham T: Stephen Miller	142	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len at Bunbury Cl3 January 21 over 1 m defeating Azabelle with 129lbs at $6.50. The race before that couldn't go on with it, ran last of 8 at Pinjarra Rtg 50+ on December 21 over 1 ¼m, 7 len behind Let Sparks Fly with 132lbs at $3.30. Can set the tempo and will take some catching.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.