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7:29 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
7f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
26.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DESERT DANCING (5) has gone under by less than a length her past couple, finishing strongly from wide draws in this grade. Now draws a better barrier which may see her sit a pair or two closer. Knocking on the door of another victory and looks ready to fire now back out to 7f. HELLUVA GODDESS (4) won well two back before hitting the line with Desert Dancing last start at the 1 5/16m journey. She was a winner over 6 ½f first-up last campaign and the rise in trip looks a good move. May need some gaps to open but she has the ratings to fire should they come. SOLDIER OF GOD (8) will find this tougher than recent efforts, though he's turned in a couple of good ratings this time in work. He drops plenty of weight today and hits this ready to peak third-up. Can put his best foot forward. LATER ALLIGATOR (6) was too good last start at 80-1. Rates highly off that but needs to prove it wasn't a fluke. STREET BAND (1) can fire third-up and back in grade.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Desert Dancing silk

Racing well recently. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at this track Westspeed Plat on January 1 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Later Alligator carrying 127lbs at $4.40. The start before that came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track Westspeed Final on December 6 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Auto Cruise carrying 129lbs at $3.80. Looks ready to strike now.

1st Pick
5

Desert Dancing

Jockey: Joey Azzopardi

Trainer: Robert Gulberti

J: Joey Azzopardi

T: Robert Gulberti

132---29%5/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 9 at this track Westspeed Plat on January 1 over 6f, 0.7 len behind Later Alligator carrying 127lbs at $4.40. The start before that came from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track Westspeed Final on December 6 over 7f, 0.8 len behind Auto Cruise carrying 129lbs at $3.80. Looks ready to strike now.

4
Helluva Goddess silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the pace when 3rd of 9 at this track Westspeed Plat on January 1 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Later Alligator with 121lbs at $3.40. The race before that won by 1.0 len at this track Cl3 F&M December 17 over 6f defeating Princess In Red with 125lbs at $4. Hard to beat on recent performances.

2nd Pick
4

Helluva Goddess

Jockey: Holly Nottle

Trainer: Paul Hunter

J: Holly Nottle

T: Paul Hunter

141---29%5/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the pace when 3rd of 9 at this track Westspeed Plat on January 1 over 6f, 0.6 len behind Later Alligator with 121lbs at $3.40. The race before that won by 1.0 len at this track Cl3 F&M December 17 over 6f defeating Princess In Red with 125lbs at $4. Hard to beat on recent performances.

8
Soldier Of God silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 9 at this track Cl3 C&G on December 17 over 6f, 1.0 len behind De Grandhomme with 128lbs at $14. Last start 4th of 9 at Pinjarra Cl1 on December 31 over 7f, 4 len behind Elegant Indi with 132lbs at $5. Ticks a few boxes third-up.

3rd Pick
8

Soldier Of God

Jockey: Troy Turner

Trainer: Paul Jordan

J: Troy Turner

T: Paul Jordan

68---5%20/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 9 at this track Cl3 C&G on December 17 over 6f, 1.0 len behind De Grandhomme with 128lbs at $14. Last start 4th of 9 at Pinjarra Cl1 on December 31 over 7f, 4 len behind Elegant Indi with 132lbs at $5. Ticks a few boxes third-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.