AU - Ascot - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

53.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

BLACK ORA (2) came from well back on the turn to score comfortably last time out over 5f at this track, and she has a terrific record at the distance with five wins from nine starts. She has to carry an extra 7lbs this time, but can repeat the dose. IMMORTAL BLISS (3) is a very promising gelding who made good progress last season. He resumes from a spell and is the choice of William Pike, who has chosen him over the top pick. Hard to beat. HAIDA GWAII (7) resumed with a narrow win over 5f here, making it three in a row, after putting together a brace of wins to end her last prep. This is tougher, but she looks hard to beat again over the same trip. KEEP ITA MYSTERY (4) finally cops a decent gate after finding it tough from a wide draw here 12 days ago over 6f. He is worth another chance here. ATLANTIC SPIRIT (8) finished eighth, but not far off the winner over 5f here last start. Include her in all combos to be safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 2 len at this track Rtg 72+ December 6 over 5f defeating Keep Ita Mystery with 121lbs at $3.30. The run before that 3rd of 14 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 15 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Jaz Session with 128lbs at $2.90. In great form and can make it back-to-back wins. 1st Pick 2 Black Ora Jockey: Lucy Fiore Trainer: Adam Durrant J: Lucy Fiore T: Adam Durrant	194	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 2 len at this track Rtg 72+ December 6 over 5f defeating Keep Ita Mystery with 121lbs at $3.30. The run before that 3rd of 14 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 15 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Jaz Session with 128lbs at $2.90. In great form and can make it back-to-back wins.
3	Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign won by 3 len Kalgoorlie Ron Sayers October 4 over 5 ½f defeating Snow Prince with 128lbs at $1.75. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 2.5 len Northam Cl3 August 7 over 5f slow track defeating Go Go Grommet carrying 129lbs at $1.35. Might be better off following this run. 2nd Pick 3 Immortal Bliss Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	140	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign won by 3 len Kalgoorlie Ron Sayers October 4 over 5 ½f defeating Snow Prince with 128lbs at $1.75. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 2.5 len Northam Cl3 August 7 over 5f slow track defeating Go Go Grommet carrying 129lbs at $1.35. Might be better off following this run.
7	Second-up. First-up after six months raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a long-neck at this track Rtg 66+ December 13 over 5f defeating Want A Winner carrying 122lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 4th in a small field at this track 3yo Hcp 55+ on May 3 over 5f, slow going 2.25 len behind Kay Tee Why carrying 122lbs at $3. Likely to come on from that run. 3rd Pick 7 Haida Gwaii Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Michael Lane J: Chris Parnham T: Michael Lane	188	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a long-neck at this track Rtg 66+ December 13 over 5f defeating Want A Winner carrying 122lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 4th in a small field at this track 3yo Hcp 55+ on May 3 over 5f, slow going 2.25 len behind Kay Tee Why carrying 122lbs at $3. Likely to come on from that run.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.