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6:01 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 4

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
11.9f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
56.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WESTERN LADY (5) couldn't have been more impressive last start when sitting handy and putting her rivals to the sword over 1 ?m last week. She's on the quick turnaround again today but she's raced well on the 7-day back-up previously. This shapes similarly and she can go on with the job. FAT ROY SLIM (1) will appreciate this much easier company today after tackling Listed races for the last three starts. Back to a more suitable level now and Pike hops back in the saddle. Wouldn't surprise to see him bounce back to winning ways. AUDIO BOY (3) stuck on well behind Western Lady last time out and he carries less weight today. Nottle's claim helps and he rarely runs a bad race. DEADLY AND FAST (2) was solid late at Albany last Sunday and the rise to 1 ½m doesn't look an issue. Can bring his recent form to town. ROYAL SPLENDOUR (7) is better than he showed last time out and can bounce back to form.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Western Lady silk

Recent form sound. Last start favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win at this track Grad Hcp 60+ April 4 over 1m defeating Rock In Wonder carrying 123lbs at $1.90. The start before that 2nd of 12 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on March 14 over 1m, 1.1 len behind The Jester's Son with 121lbs at $1.45. Bolted in last start and can repeat the dose if she handles the quick turnaround.

1st Pick
5

Western Lady

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Grant & Alana Williams

195---67%1/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win at this track Grad Hcp 60+ April 4 over 1m defeating Rock In Wonder carrying 123lbs at $1.90. The start before that 2nd of 12 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on March 14 over 1m, 1.1 len behind The Jester's Son with 121lbs at $1.45. Bolted in last start and can repeat the dose if she handles the quick turnaround.

1
Fat Roy Slim silk

Most recently 8th of 12 at Pinjarra in the LR Pinjarra Cup on March 22 over 1 7/16m, 5 len behind Royal Toronado with 119lbs at $10. The race before that 8th of 13 at Bunbury in the LR Bunbury Cup on March 7 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind Arcadia Park with 121lbs at $11. Right back in grade here and looks the main danger with Pike on board.

2nd Pick
1

Fat Roy Slim

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Jason Miller

J: William Pike

T: Jason Miller

230---17%5/1

Analysis

Most recently 8th of 12 at Pinjarra in the LR Pinjarra Cup on March 22 over 1 7/16m, 5 len behind Royal Toronado with 119lbs at $10. The race before that 8th of 13 at Bunbury in the LR Bunbury Cup on March 7 over 1 ¼m, 5.5 len behind Arcadia Park with 121lbs at $11. Right back in grade here and looks the main danger with Pike on board.

3
Audio Boy silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on April 4 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Western Lady with 127lbs at $4.40. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 13 at this track Rtg 65+ on March 21 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Lillian carrying 121lbs at $5. Rarely turns in a poor one and should get every possible yet again.

3rd Pick
3

Audio Boy

Jockey: Holly Nottle

Trainer: Adam Durrant

J: Holly Nottle

T: Adam Durrant

160---17%5/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on April 4 over 1m, 4.5 len behind Western Lady with 127lbs at $4.40. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 13 at this track Rtg 65+ on March 21 over 1m, 1.0 len behind Lillian carrying 121lbs at $5. Rarely turns in a poor one and should get every possible yet again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.