AU - Ascot - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

56.0K

VIEW

Verdict

CELESTIAL STORM (2) settled midfield out to 6f last start and stuck on well there when a 20-1 chance. Back in trip now and in grade as well with Pike hopping on board. Ticks plenty of boxes and this presents as a strong opportunity to bounce back to winning ways. SANTANOVA (3) got well back last start over this track and trip but was too good, finishing in strong splits to win rather easily. The form out of that race has been strong since and he can sit a touch closer today from the barrier. Doesn't lose much with Parnham replacing Pike and another forward showing is on the cards. ROLLING RULER (7) missed by 1L when the odds-on favourite last start and comes back to a track and trip he's won at previously. Tougher here but he's hinted that he's up to this grade and he can make his presence felt. NICCIMOTA (8) is better than what we saw last start and can bounce back. LOST GRAVITY (6) is third-up now and usually improves sharply.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Last start 3rd of 9 at this track Rtg 72+ on January 24 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Elite Missile with 123lbs at $21. The start before that 9th of 11 at this track in the LR Summer Scorcher on January 1 over 5f, 4 len behind Madhi Girl with 119lbs at $21. Looks to have found a winnable race today and can get back to winning ways. 1st Pick 2 Celestial Storm Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Luke Fernie J: William Pike T: Luke Fernie	194	-	-	-	46%
Analysis Last start 3rd of 9 at this track Rtg 72+ on January 24 over 6f, 1.75 len behind Elite Missile with 123lbs at $21. The start before that 9th of 11 at this track in the LR Summer Scorcher on January 1 over 5f, 4 len behind Madhi Girl with 119lbs at $21. Looks to have found a winnable race today and can get back to winning ways.
3	Most recently won by 0.9 len at this track Grad Hcp 60+ January 17 over 5f defeating Avoidance with 132lbs at $5. The run before that from last on the turn 8th of 10 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 1 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Amaroo Star carrying 131lbs at $10. Very impressive win last time out and can go on with the job. 2nd Pick 3 Santanova Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Michael Lane J: Chris Parnham T: Michael Lane	222	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Most recently won by 0.9 len at this track Grad Hcp 60+ January 17 over 5f defeating Avoidance with 132lbs at $5. The run before that from last on the turn 8th of 10 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on January 1 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Amaroo Star carrying 131lbs at $10. Very impressive win last time out and can go on with the job.
7	Recent form sound. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Bunbury Cl3 on January 26 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind Pingers carrying 133lbs at $1.75. The run before that took up a position near the tail 3rd of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 29 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Thermosphere Lad with 127lbs at $15. Looks well placed over this track and trip and he can go one better now. 3rd Pick 7 Rolling Ruler Jockey: Troy Turner Trainer: Bruce Watkins J: Troy Turner T: Bruce Watkins	164	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Bunbury Cl3 on January 26 over 5 ½f, 1.0 len behind Pingers carrying 133lbs at $1.75. The run before that took up a position near the tail 3rd of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 29 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Thermosphere Lad with 127lbs at $15. Looks well placed over this track and trip and he can go one better now.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.