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9:44 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 10

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
56.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SNITZALATTE (8) has been solid behind the sharp Bassett Hound to begin this campaign and now gets out of his shadow third-up. Out to 6f now is a big tick and if she can slot in from the draw, she makes plenty of appeal with this shaping as a chance to explode. XENTARO (11) beat home Snitzalatte last start over 5f, returning in similar form to how he ended last campaign. He looks ready to raise the bar again this time in work and Chris Parnham sticks. He's a second-up winner in the past and he can get back to winning ways. HURRICANE HARLEY (6) was solid behind Rock Fest two back before a 1.8L defeat in the Asian Beau just last week. Back to 6f is a big tick and he can be flying late in the race. KEEP READING (7) is some niggle out to 6f, but he's third-up here and rates well off his last start win. CAPPER THIRTYNINE (10) creates some interest first-up.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Snitzalatte silk

Hit the line strongly for fifth at this track last start, beaten a length and a half by Bassett Hound after covering ground over 5f. She had been fair first-up in BM72+ grade, but now gets to the right stage of the campaign and has one win and three placings from five starts at this track and distance. Poised to strike now.

1st Pick
8

Snitzalatte

Jockey: Lucy Fiore

Trainer: Adam Durrant

J: Lucy Fiore

T: Adam Durrant

135---15%6/1

Analysis

Hit the line strongly for fifth at this track last start, beaten a length and a half by Bassett Hound after covering ground over 5f. She had been fair first-up in BM72+ grade, but now gets to the right stage of the campaign and has one win and three placings from five starts at this track and distance. Poised to strike now.

11
Xentaro silk

Resumed with a solid fourth at this track, beaten just over a length by Bassett Hound after settling just off the lead and holding his ground. He also beat Snitzalatte home there, which is an important recent reference. Exciting gelding who can continue to work through the grades after a strong fresh effort behind Bassett Hound.

2nd Pick
11

Xentaro

Jockey: Chris Parnham

Trainer: Neville Parnham

J: Chris Parnham

T: Neville Parnham

125---25%3/1

Analysis

Resumed with a solid fourth at this track, beaten just over a length by Bassett Hound after settling just off the lead and holding his ground. He also beat Snitzalatte home there, which is an important recent reference. Exciting gelding who can continue to work through the grades after a strong fresh effort behind Bassett Hound.

6
Hurricane Harley silk

Drops out of the G3 Asian Beau Stakes after finishing seventh at this track, beaten just under two lengths by Hot And High, with the stewards noting he raced wide throughout. That was a stronger race, and his previous second in BM66+ grade showed he can close off when given his chance. Back to this trip and grade is a bonus and he can treturn to winning ways.

3rd Pick
6

Hurricane Harley

Jockey: Natasha Faithfull

Trainer: Summer Dickson

J: Natasha Faithfull

T: Summer Dickson

145---13%7/1

Analysis

Drops out of the G3 Asian Beau Stakes after finishing seventh at this track, beaten just under two lengths by Hot And High, with the stewards noting he raced wide throughout. That was a stronger race, and his previous second in BM66+ grade showed he can close off when given his chance. Back to this trip and grade is a bonus and he can treturn to winning ways.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.