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3:39 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 1

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
7f
Unknown
Turf
GOOD 4
25.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

I'M NIPOTE (2) stormed home over the top to score at Pinjarra 9 days ago, getting the nod in a photo finish to bring up back-to-back wins. Now Pike hops in the saddle from a suitable draw and the drop back in trip is no issue. Well placed and can bring up the hat-trick. FORTUNE'S LUCK (7) is better than she showed last start when beaten 3.1L after getting a long way back. Her form prior was solid and now CJP takes the ride from an inside barrier. Can bounce back to her best form. BOUSSAC (5) continues to go around in the market and with some support, but has been narrowly beaten his past couple. Gets the blinkers on now and Steve Parnham takes the ride. May be what he needs to get him back in the winner's stall. MAJOR MARIO (4) will be fitter for two trials coming in and is not to be discounted. THE SPRUIKER (3) can bounce back following a 4.7L defeat last start in a tougher race.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
I'm Nipote silk

Recent form sound. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl3 on May 1 over 7 ½f, nose behind Le Messager carrying 131lbs at $4.80. The run before that came from midfield and won by a head at this track Cl3 April 18 over 7f defeating True Blue Bondi carrying 128lbs at $10. Can return to winning ways.

1st Pick
2

I'm Nipote

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Brad Seinor

J: William Pike

T: Brad Seinor

105---34%2/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn, 2nd of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl3 on May 1 over 7 ½f, nose behind Le Messager carrying 131lbs at $4.80. The run before that came from midfield and won by a head at this track Cl3 April 18 over 7f defeating True Blue Bondi carrying 128lbs at $10. Can return to winning ways.

7
Fortune's Luck silk

Last start eased back early on 6th of 10 at this track 0Mwly on April 18 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Dug Another Hole carrying 125lbs at $8.50. Before that 4th of 7 at this track Westspeed 0Mwly on April 5 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Jaz Session carrying 125lbs at $6. Ticking along well and can get the job done.

2nd Pick
7

Fortune's Luck

Jockey: Joseph Azzopardi

Trainer: Adam Durrant

J: Joseph Azzopardi

T: Adam Durrant

149---46%6/5

Analysis

Last start eased back early on 6th of 10 at this track 0Mwly on April 18 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Dug Another Hole carrying 125lbs at $8.50. Before that 4th of 7 at this track Westspeed 0Mwly on April 5 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Jaz Session carrying 125lbs at $6. Ticking along well and can get the job done.

5
Boussac silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on April 26 over 7 ½f, 0.5 len behind I'm Crafty carrying 123lbs at $4.20. The run before that 4th of 10 at this track Westspeed 0Mwly on April 12 over 7 ½f, 0.9 len behind Knot Secret carrying 125lbs at $3.50. Becoming a bit of a tease but the blinkers go on now.

3rd Pick
5

Boussac

Jockey: Steven Parnham

Trainer: Meryl Hayley

J: Steven Parnham

T: Meryl Hayley

105---29%5/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 11 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on April 26 over 7 ½f, 0.5 len behind I'm Crafty carrying 123lbs at $4.20. The run before that 4th of 10 at this track Westspeed 0Mwly on April 12 over 7 ½f, 0.9 len behind Knot Secret carrying 125lbs at $3.50. Becoming a bit of a tease but the blinkers go on now.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.