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8:45 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 9

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
51.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WESTERN POWER (10) just missed last start when nabbed on the line as favourite over the mile and drops back to this trip where he won two back. He'll need some luck from the gate, but he's starting to hit his straps. Drops in weight with CJP in the saddle and can go one better this time. WITHOUT REG (5) is racing in good order and comes through the same race as Western Power last time out. He may not have run out the extra trip there and was a strong winner here two back with good form coming out from behind him. Can bounce back and flash late in the race. FIRST ENCOUNTER (8) went to Victoria and wasn't disgraced but has spent a long time on the sidelines since. Trials have been fair coming in, but Pike's booking suggests he can fire first-up. Worth keeping on side. SIBERIAN SIREN (6) looks to map similarly to his last start win and can repeat the dose. MULTINATIONAL (2) is a two-time winner fresh and can put his best foot forward.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Western Power silk

Most recently 2nd in a small field at this track Rtg 71+ on April 26 over 1m, nose behind Trio with 121lbs at $2.50. The race before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at this track Grad Hcp 59+ April 19 over 7f defeating Soso Lucky carrying 127lbs at $2.45. Went close last time. Narrowly beaten last start but can go one better this time.

1st Pick
10

Western Power

Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Michael Grantham

J: Clint Johnston-Porter

T: Michael Grantham

190---27%11/4

Analysis

Most recently 2nd in a small field at this track Rtg 71+ on April 26 over 1m, nose behind Trio with 121lbs at $2.50. The race before that favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by a long-neck at this track Grad Hcp 59+ April 19 over 7f defeating Soso Lucky carrying 127lbs at $2.45. Went close last time. Narrowly beaten last start but can go one better this time.

5
Without Reg silk

Useful gelding. Most recently 4th in a small field at this track Rtg 71+ on April 26 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Trio carrying 132lbs at $8. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.6 len at this track Rtg 70+ April 12 over 7f defeating Deferred carrying 129lbs at $11. Back to the scene of the crime and he's a live chance.

2nd Pick
5

Without Reg

Jockey: Holly Watson

Trainer: Rhys Radford

J: Holly Watson

T: Rhys Radford

141---20%4/1

Analysis

Useful gelding. Most recently 4th in a small field at this track Rtg 71+ on April 26 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Trio carrying 132lbs at $8. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.6 len at this track Rtg 70+ April 12 over 7f defeating Deferred carrying 129lbs at $11. Back to the scene of the crime and he's a live chance.

8
First Encounter silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 15 months. Finished off last campaign seventh of 10 at Caulfield Bm70 February 10 2024 over 1m, 6 len behind Another Wil carrying 133lbs at $16. Previously first up, second last in a small field at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 January 31 2024 over 1m, 2 len behind Vinnie's Spirit with 127lbs at $9.50. First run for a while but he's trialled well and has shown class.

3rd Pick
8

First Encounter

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Michael Grantham

J: William Pike

T: Michael Grantham

114---25%3/1

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 15 months. Finished off last campaign seventh of 10 at Caulfield Bm70 February 10 2024 over 1m, 6 len behind Another Wil carrying 133lbs at $16. Previously first up, second last in a small field at Sandown-Lakeside Bm70 January 31 2024 over 1m, 2 len behind Vinnie's Spirit with 127lbs at $9.50. First run for a while but he's trialled well and has shown class.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.