AU - Ascot - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

55.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ABERDEEN FLYER (7) won the Roberts before just missing in the Melvista and not running the extra trip of the Derby. His trial recently was superb and suspect he'll be a miler this time in. Maps to get every chance on resumption and he's very attractive with the profile he brings into this. POND MASTER (9) won by a nose fresh before a narrow defeat last start at 6f behind Six Shooter. Out to 7f now is a good move and he's won 2/3 when third-up in the past. Drops in weight and can get back to winning ways without surprising. ELITE MISSILE (2) had fans in the Hannans but got well back and never featured when fresh. He usually dips second-up, but his fresh run was too bad to be true and he can improve quickly under this scenario. SIX SHOOTER (4) was just fair in a recent trial. Out to 7f now is a niggle, but it's hard to knock his winning form. NOBLE CONNECTION (5) trialled nicely recently and has claims first-up.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Returns from a lengthy spell with a Belmont Park trial win behind him, which is a solid pointer for a first-up assignment. He was last seen finishing fifth in the G2 WATC Derby at this track after racing wide from the 4 ½f, and his earlier second in the Listed Melvista Stakes reads strongly for this grade. Trial coming in was super and he has a very progressive proile. 1st Pick 7 Aberdeen Flyer Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Sean & Jake Casey J: Chris Parnham T: Sean & Jake Casey	107	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell with a Belmont Park trial win behind him, which is a solid pointer for a first-up assignment. He was last seen finishing fifth in the G2 WATC Derby at this track after racing wide from the 4 ½f, and his earlier second in the Listed Melvista Stakes reads strongly for this grade. Trial coming in was super and he has a very progressive proile.
9	Has come back in good order, winning a Benchmark 72+ at Belmont Park over 5f before going under by only a neck to Six Shooter in the same grade over 6f. He travelled well and fought hard last start, and now reaches the third run of the campaign with a solid 7f record behind him. Just missed last start but things look to shape nicely third-up out in distance. 2nd Pick 9 Pond Master Jockey: Shaun O'donnell Trainer: Takahide Ikenushi J: Shaun O'donnell T: Takahide Ikenushi	133	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Has come back in good order, winning a Benchmark 72+ at Belmont Park over 5f before going under by only a neck to Six Shooter in the same grade over 6f. He travelled well and fought hard last start, and now reaches the third run of the campaign with a solid 7f record behind him. Just missed last start but things look to shape nicely third-up out in distance.
2	Was well below expectations first-up in the Listed Hannans Handicap at Kalgoorlie, finishing 11th and beaten eight and a half lengths after settling rearward and making no impression. His fourth in the Listed Old Comrade Stakes at this venue last campaign is a much better guide, and he is a track-and-trip winner. Things didn't go to plan last start at Kalgoorlie but he's better than that and an improved run is on the cards. 3rd Pick 2 Elite Missile Jockey: Steven Parnham Trainer: Stephen Miller J: Steven Parnham T: Stephen Miller	110	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Was well below expectations first-up in the Listed Hannans Handicap at Kalgoorlie, finishing 11th and beaten eight and a half lengths after settling rearward and making no impression. His fourth in the Listed Old Comrade Stakes at this venue last campaign is a much better guide, and he is a track-and-trip winner. Things didn't go to plan last start at Kalgoorlie but he's better than that and an improved run is on the cards.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.