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5:06 AM

AU - Ascot - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
8.9f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
57.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HOLLER NUFF (4) made it back-to-back wins last start, highlighting himself as a gelding on the rise with a 0.9L victory over the mile. Out in trip again now for CJP, but the way he finished off last time suggests it's not an issue. This shapes similarly and he can bring up the hat-trick. PRECIOUS GOD (8) won narrowly two back before beaten in a photo finish over the mile here most recently. She steps out in trip for the first time, though it looks to suit on how she's racing in her recent efforts. Drawn nicely and can make an impression once again. BIRD'S THE WORD (2) beat a smart one two back before closing well here most recently, beaten 0.7L. Drawn better this time for Parnham and he can sit closer in the run this time. Can feature in the finish again. I DREAMED A DREAM (5) has gone under narrowly his past couple and won't be far away. MISTRESS OF WAR (10) has to be included on her recent form.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Holler Nuff silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at this track Rtg 65+ April 4 over 1m defeating I Dreamed A Dream carrying 121lbs at $1.70. The run before that favourite, was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.9 len at this track 3yo Hcp 62+ March 21 over 6f defeating Swingman carrying 121lbs at $6. Far too good last start and he can continue to work through the grades.

1st Pick
4

Holler Nuff

Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Michael Grantham

J: Clint Johnston-Porter

T: Michael Grantham

198---34%2/1

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at this track Rtg 65+ April 4 over 1m defeating I Dreamed A Dream carrying 121lbs at $1.70. The run before that favourite, was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.9 len at this track 3yo Hcp 62+ March 21 over 6f defeating Swingman carrying 121lbs at $6. Far too good last start and he can continue to work through the grades.

8
Precious God silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 11 at this track Westspeed 0Mwly on April 4 over 1m, nose behind Crunchy Nut with 126lbs at $3.80. The start before that favourite, settled well back, won by a nose at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl3 March 12 over 7 ½f defeating Hope To Rule carrying 126lbs at $7. Hard to knock her form this time in and she can make a statement.

2nd Pick
8

Precious God

Jockey: Brandon Louis

Trainer: Paula Wagg

J: Brandon Louis

T: Paula Wagg

93---15%6/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 11 at this track Westspeed 0Mwly on April 4 over 1m, nose behind Crunchy Nut with 126lbs at $3.80. The start before that favourite, settled well back, won by a nose at Pinjarra Scarpside Cl3 March 12 over 7 ½f defeating Hope To Rule carrying 126lbs at $7. Hard to knock her form this time in and she can make a statement.

2
Bird's The Word silk

Racing well recently. Most recently made ground from midfield, 3rd of 13 at this track Rtg 65+ on April 1 over 1m, slow going 0.7 len behind Black For Cash carrying 125lbs at $12. Before that won by a nose at Bunbury Grad Hcp 60+ March 7 over 1 m defeating Western Lady with 126lbs at $8. Went close last time. Can sit much closer this time around and get back to winning ways.

3rd Pick
2

Bird's The Word

Jockey: Steven Parnham

Trainer: Charlotte Skerritt

J: Steven Parnham

T: Charlotte Skerritt

138---20%4/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently made ground from midfield, 3rd of 13 at this track Rtg 65+ on April 1 over 1m, slow going 0.7 len behind Black For Cash carrying 125lbs at $12. Before that won by a nose at Bunbury Grad Hcp 60+ March 7 over 1 m defeating Western Lady with 126lbs at $8. Went close last time. Can sit much closer this time around and get back to winning ways.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.