AU - Ascot - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

57.3K

VIEW

Verdict

SNITZALATTE (1) came into his fresh run without a trial but was too good, winning by 0.3L over this track and trip 17 days ago. Nottle hops on board and she looks like a filly with above-average ability. She's won 2/3 at this track and trip previously and there's no reason why she can't repeat the dose. SWINGMAN (2) led them up over this track and trip last start when gunned down late in the race by Snitzalatte. Likely to take up the running once again and he gets a weight swing in his favour today. Should be up front again and can turn the tables this time around. DOOR BUSTER (5) returned in good order behind what looks a smart one over this trip at Belmont 24 days ago. She'll be fitter for that effort and the blinkers go on for the first time now. Maps to get every chance and can put herself into the finish. SLIP THE JAB (3) won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second run back. First-up after four months favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at this track 3yo Hcp 62+ April 1 over 5f on a soft track defeating Swingman with 128lbs at $2.60. Previously second-up 4th of 11 at this track 3yo Classic on October 11 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Talkanco carrying 119lbs at $9. Too good fresh and she can continue on her winning ways. 1st Pick 1 Snitzalatte Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Adam Durrant J: Holly Nottle T: Adam Durrant	256	-	-	-	53%	10/11
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a neck at this track 3yo Hcp 62+ April 1 over 5f on a soft track defeating Swingman with 128lbs at $2.60. Previously second-up 4th of 11 at this track 3yo Classic on October 11 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Talkanco carrying 119lbs at $9. Too good fresh and she can continue on her winning ways.
2	Form hard to fault. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd in a small field at this track 3yo Hcp 62+ on April 1 over 5f, slow going neck behind Snitzalatte carrying 126lbs at $2.70. The race before that 2nd in a small field at this track 3yo Hcp 62+ on March 21 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Holler Nuff carrying 127lbs at $3.70. Gunned down by Snitzalatte late last start and meets that rival better at the weights. 2nd Pick 2 Swingman Jockey: Zephen Johnston-Porter Trainer: Jim P Taylor J: Zephen Johnston-Porter T: Jim P Taylor	186	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd in a small field at this track 3yo Hcp 62+ on April 1 over 5f, slow going neck behind Snitzalatte carrying 126lbs at $2.70. The race before that 2nd in a small field at this track 3yo Hcp 62+ on March 21 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Holler Nuff carrying 127lbs at $3.70. Gunned down by Snitzalatte late last start and meets that rival better at the weights.
5	Third race start. Won on debut raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at Northam Mdn October 30 over 5 ½f defeating Energetic carrying 119lbs at $11. Returned from break 3rd of 8 at Belmont Park Cl1 on March 25 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Acorn with 126lbs at $5.50. Did enough fresh to suggest she can feature in the finish here second-up and with the blinkers on. 3rd Pick 5 Door Buster Jockey: Holly Watson Trainer: Dion Luciani J: Holly Watson T: Dion Luciani	83	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Third race start. Won on debut raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.7 len at Northam Mdn October 30 over 5 ½f defeating Energetic carrying 119lbs at $11. Returned from break 3rd of 8 at Belmont Park Cl1 on March 25 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Acorn with 126lbs at $5.50. Did enough fresh to suggest she can feature in the finish here second-up and with the blinkers on.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.