AU - Ascot - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

53.1K

VIEW

Verdict

MISSISSIPPI DAWN (7) settled much closer last time out and landed the knockout blow, winning by 0.2L at this track and trip. The form out of that race has worked out well and this looks to set up similarly. Can land close to the speed once again and she looks ready to work through the grades now. HOBA WEST (1) sat on the speed and was very impressive two back before bumping into Forever Boy last start who jumped favourite in a Perth Cup lead-up last week. That form reads well and Galati sticks with him. Can find the front from the inside barrier and be hard to run down. LONG GENES (3) was too strong over 1 ?m last time out and has been freshened since that performance. He's won a trial since that performance and he can finish off strongly from the back. FREEDOM ESCAPE (6) was too good last start at Pinjarra and can storm over the top once again. STARWALKER (4) wasn't far behind Mississippi Dawn last start and has to be included.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	At the latest run won by a head at this track Grad Hcp 60+ November 29 over 1m defeating The Crimson Pirate carrying 119lbs at $9. The run before that 5th of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 15 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Summer's Legacy carrying 120lbs at $7. Maps for a similar run this time around and can repeat the dose. 1st Pick 7 Mississippi Dawn Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Clint Johnston-Porter T: Michael Grantham	183	-	-	-	23%
Analysis At the latest run won by a head at this track Grad Hcp 60+ November 29 over 1m defeating The Crimson Pirate carrying 119lbs at $9. The run before that 5th of 15 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on November 15 over 1m, 1.4 len behind Summer's Legacy carrying 120lbs at $7. Maps for a similar run this time around and can repeat the dose.
1	Form hard to fault. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 29 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Forever Boy carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at this track Grad Hcp 60+ November 8 over 1m defeating Rubens' Ceiling with 132lbs at $4.40. Good in stronger company last start and will be hard to gun down. 2nd Pick 1 Hoba West Jockey: Austin Galati Trainer: Summer Dickson J: Austin Galati T: Summer Dickson	232	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at this track Rtg 72+ on November 29 over 1m, 0.6 len behind Forever Boy carrying 121lbs at $6.50. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.9 len at this track Grad Hcp 60+ November 8 over 1m defeating Rubens' Ceiling with 132lbs at $4.40. Good in stronger company last start and will be hard to gun down.
3	Comes off a 42 day let-up. At the latest run won by 1.75 len at this track Grad Hcp 58+ November 1 over 1m defeating Twilight Tale carrying 128lbs at $4.60. The race before that 9th of 16 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on October 11 over 1m, 4 len behind Old Mate Henry with 123lbs at $31. Good trial recently and has claims on the fresh side. 3rd Pick 3 Long Genes Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Michael Grantham J: Brad Parnham T: Michael Grantham	128	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Comes off a 42 day let-up. At the latest run won by 1.75 len at this track Grad Hcp 58+ November 1 over 1m defeating Twilight Tale carrying 128lbs at $4.60. The race before that 9th of 16 at this track Grad Hcp 60+ on October 11 over 1m, 4 len behind Old Mate Henry with 123lbs at $31. Good trial recently and has claims on the fresh side.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.