AU - Armidale - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

21.3K

VIEW

Verdict

KATE'S TIARA (7) is racing consistently and was not far away in third at Grafton last start. She is going well without winning and has a good chance here to break her win drought. APACHE JACK (8) ran on nicely fresh up at Taree nearly 3 weeks ago, and drop 10lbs from that effort. He has the pole position, improves quickly second up, and can take this out. DEMARCATE (6) has been knocking on the door and looks ready to crack it after another solid effort at Mendooran, at their picnic meeting over 6f. He gets back to a suitable trip and can figure in the top 4 here. SOLAR BLAST (12) has been safely held at his past couple of starts, and has been freshened since his last run at Scone, but the booking of Ben Looker is a positive chance, so keep him very safe. DUNE AND DUSTED (1) is a competitive gelding at this level, and he has winning form on the track over the trip. Include in all top 4 combos to be safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Racing well recently. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 in a Ctry Bm58 at Grafton on September 7 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Dizzy Dee with 132lbs at $6. Before that 3rd of 10 in a Bm66 at Grafton on August 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Dance Gavin Dance with 128lbs at $7.50. Will prove tough to stave off. 1st Pick 7 Kate's Tiara Jockey: Mikayla Weir Trainer: Paddy Cunningham J: Mikayla Weir T: Paddy Cunningham	92	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 9 in a Ctry Bm58 at Grafton on September 7 over 5f, 1.75 len behind Dizzy Dee with 132lbs at $6. Before that 3rd of 10 in a Bm66 at Grafton on August 18 over 5f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Dance Gavin Dance with 128lbs at $7.50. Will prove tough to stave off.
8	Second-up. First-up after two months 5th of 13 in a Bm58 at Taree on August 31 over 5f, slow going 2.5 len behind Take The Jackpot carrying 136lbs at $41. Previously second-up won by 0.5 len in a Cl3 at Tamworth on June 15 over 6f in soft going defeating Irish Jig carrying 121lbs at $31. Strips fitter, and can get some of this. 2nd Pick 8 Apache Jack Jockey: Serg Lisnyy Trainer: Ben Lees J: Serg Lisnyy T: Ben Lees	81	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 5th of 13 in a Bm58 at Taree on August 31 over 5f, slow going 2.5 len behind Take The Jackpot carrying 136lbs at $41. Previously second-up won by 0.5 len in a Cl3 at Tamworth on June 15 over 6f in soft going defeating Irish Jig carrying 121lbs at $31. Strips fitter, and can get some of this.
6	Most recently 5th of 12 in a Mend Cup at Mendooran on September 5 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Glowing Rapids with 126lbs at $3.50. Before that came from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a Ctry Bm58 at Narromine on August 23 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.8 len behind Palentino Swinger with 133lbs at $3.70. Rates highly and will be hard to stop. 3rd Pick 6 Demarcate Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Jane Clement J: Braith Nock T: Jane Clement	138	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 12 in a Mend Cup at Mendooran on September 5 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Glowing Rapids with 126lbs at $3.50. Before that came from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a Ctry Bm58 at Narromine on August 23 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.8 len behind Palentino Swinger with 133lbs at $3.70. Rates highly and will be hard to stop.

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