AU - Armidale - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

9.4f

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

19.2K

VIEW

Verdict

SLUGWORTH (6) ran a good race when second at a recent Goondiwindi picnic meeting over 1 ?m, and an extra 1f here is ideal at this stage of his prep. Zac Wadick in the saddle is a strong lead, and he can go one better. AURORA EFFECT (7) is knocking on the door after finishing less than a length from the winner over 21f at Grafton last time out. That effort was full of merit and another bold showing is expected. FABS CUZ (2) looks hard to beat after a strong third at Moree over 1m, racing on the speed throughout and beaten by a length and a half. He has won at his only attempt over this trip and looks ideally placed to strike again. COMPADRE (1) will find this easier than his last start at Muswellbrook, and stepping up to 1 ³/16m will help him. With some luck from a wide gate, he is good enough to figure in the top 4. EVONY (8) has found the line nicely in her last couple of starts, and an extra 1 ½f to travel here is the key. Each way value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Last start 2nd of 12 in a Bm50 at Goondiwindi on September 5 over 1m, 2 len behind Headline Legend carrying 134lbs at $6. Before that ran last of 10 in a Bm58 at Toowoomba on August 22 over 1m, 10 len behind Got Yourself A Gun carrying 126lbs at $13. Can go one better here. 1st Pick 6 Slugworth Jockey: Zac Wadick Trainer: Corey & Kylie Geran J: Zac Wadick T: Corey & Kylie Geran	121	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Last start 2nd of 12 in a Bm50 at Goondiwindi on September 5 over 1m, 2 len behind Headline Legend carrying 134lbs at $6. Before that ran last of 10 in a Bm58 at Toowoomba on August 22 over 1m, 10 len behind Got Yourself A Gun carrying 126lbs at $13. Can go one better here.
7	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd in a small field in a Cl1-Sw at Grafton on September 7 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Ayasaki with 126lbs at $1.80. The run before that 4th of 10 in a Bm66 at Tamworth on August 25 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Calzino with 122lbs at $4.40. Rates highly. Shapes as one of the key chances. 2nd Pick 7 Aurora Effect Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Stirling Osland J: Ben Looker T: Stirling Osland	162	-	-	-	39%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd in a small field in a Cl1-Sw at Grafton on September 7 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Ayasaki with 126lbs at $1.80. The run before that 4th of 10 in a Bm66 at Tamworth on August 25 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Calzino with 122lbs at $4.40. Rates highly. Shapes as one of the key chances.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 10 in a Cl1 at Tamworth on August 25 over 7f, slow going 2.5 len behind Always A Rainbow with 129lbs at $9. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a Cl1-Sw at Moree on September 6 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Nielsen Park carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Hard to beat. 3rd Pick 2 Fabs Cuz Jockey: Mikayla Weir Trainer: Stirling Osland J: Mikayla Weir T: Stirling Osland	108	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 10 in a Cl1 at Tamworth on August 25 over 7f, slow going 2.5 len behind Always A Rainbow with 129lbs at $9. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 9 in a Cl1-Sw at Moree on September 6 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Nielsen Park carrying 130lbs at $3.40. Hard to beat.

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