AU - Alice Springs - Race 4

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

Benchmark

Sand

GOOD

17.9K

VIEW

Verdict

KIEFFER (4) could be value here. Has been racing in Darwin but returns home and looks well placed. Easier race and looks hard to hold out. THE BIG FREEZE (2) was prominent at the turn and ran a better race last start to finish a close second over 7f at this track after missing the placings at the previous appearance. Racing well and will take running down. BRAZEN SAILOR (3) settled well back last time out then found the line strongly to finish 5.5 lengths away in fourth over 6 ½f at Katherine. Long overdue and among the leading chances. HIGHSTRUNG (1) led throughout last start to score an effortless 4-length win over 6f at this track. More weight but going well and will take catching again. LOVE TO LIE (6) is next best.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Most recently 6th of 12 in a 0 - 58 at Darwin on August 3 over 1m, 6 len behind The Accelator with 129lbs at $14. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 in a 0 - 62 at Darwin on July 29 over 1m, 2 len behind Stomp'em with 125lbs at $9.50. Back on home track and will be hard to stop. 1st Pick 4 Kieffer Jockey: Jarrod Todd Trainer: Kevin Lamprecht J: Jarrod Todd T: Kevin Lamprecht	168	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Most recently 6th of 12 in a 0 - 58 at Darwin on August 3 over 1m, 6 len behind The Accelator with 129lbs at $14. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 in a 0 - 62 at Darwin on July 29 over 1m, 2 len behind Stomp'em with 125lbs at $9.50. Back on home track and will be hard to stop.
2	Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd in a small field in a 0 - 64 at this track on August 8 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Forever A Diamond carrying 121lbs at $2.70. The race before that 4th in a small field in a 0 - 70 at this track on July 26 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Flying Start carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Racing well and will take running down. 2nd Pick 2 The Big Freeze Jockey: Billy Cray Trainer: Carrol Hunter J: Billy Cray T: Carrol Hunter	158	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd in a small field in a 0 - 64 at this track on August 8 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Forever A Diamond carrying 121lbs at $2.70. The race before that 4th in a small field in a 0 - 70 at this track on July 26 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Flying Start carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Racing well and will take running down.
3	Last start 4th of 9 in a Bm54 at Katherine on August 15 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Anecdotal carrying 126lbs at $16. The start before that 2nd of 7 in a Cl2 at this track on August 8 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Voronya with 125lbs at $7.50. In a suitable race and is expected to be in the finish. 3rd Pick 3 Brazen Sailor Jockey: Leanne Boyd Trainer: Will Savage J: Leanne Boyd T: Will Savage	192	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start 4th of 9 in a Bm54 at Katherine on August 15 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Anecdotal carrying 126lbs at $16. The start before that 2nd of 7 in a Cl2 at this track on August 8 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Voronya with 125lbs at $7.50. In a suitable race and is expected to be in the finish.

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