AU - Alice Springs - Race 6

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Benchmark

Sand

GOOD

13.6K

VIEW

Verdict

HELLARA (4) has found the competition a bit rich in her last couple of starts and will enjoy the drop back in class here. A 4lbs claim will help, and she should be back in the top 3 this time. Stick with her. THE GIRL'S BOY (3) has been racing without much luck lately and was less than a length from the winner here 15 days ago when finishing fifth. He only needs the right run to take this out. MI MIJO (5) scored at massive odds last start when being ridden in front. He will be ridden in the same manner here as well, and there is no reason why he can't repeat the dose, but don't expect another ridiculous price. TAIPAN TOMMY (2) finished fourth as favourite behind the third pick last start when having no answer off a handy trip. He is mixing his form wildly, and could just as easily bounce back to win this time. ISOLYFE (1) has been a late scratching since his last run 5 weeks ago. He has the pole position, and can't be ruled out of a top 3 finish in an even contest.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	At the latest run sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at this track F&M 0 - 76 on April 6 over 6f, 6 len behind Pushover with 120lbs at $8. The start before that 4th of 10 at this track Hcp on March 22 over 5f, 6 len behind Dakota Lee with 119lbs at $16. Can turn things around. 1st Pick 4 Hellara Jockey: Hannah Le Blanc Trainer: Dick Leech J: Hannah Le Blanc T: Dick Leech	171	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis At the latest run sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 10 at this track F&M 0 - 76 on April 6 over 6f, 6 len behind Pushover with 120lbs at $8. The start before that 4th of 10 at this track Hcp on March 22 over 5f, 6 len behind Dakota Lee with 119lbs at $16. Can turn things around.
3	Useful type. Most recently 5th of 11 at this track 0 - 58 on April 5 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Chuckamicky with 134lbs at $6.50. The run before that 5th of 8 at this track 0 - 62 on March 29 over 7f, 3 len behind Mr Jones with 131lbs at $5.50. Went close last time. Major player in this line up. 2nd Pick 3 The Girl's Boy Jockey: Paul Denton Trainer: Kerry Petrick J: Paul Denton T: Kerry Petrick	139	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Useful type. Most recently 5th of 11 at this track 0 - 58 on April 5 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Chuckamicky with 134lbs at $6.50. The run before that 5th of 8 at this track 0 - 62 on March 29 over 7f, 3 len behind Mr Jones with 131lbs at $5.50. Went close last time. Major player in this line up.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up ran last of 10 at this track 0 - 58 on March 8 over 7f, 7 len behind Isolyfe with 121lbs at $20. Second run from a spell won by 2.25 len at this track 0 - 62 April 6 over 1m defeating Esskay carrying 119lbs at $61. Big chance again. 3rd Pick 5 Mi Mijo Jockey: Stan Tsaikos Trainer: Will Savage J: Stan Tsaikos T: Will Savage	139	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up ran last of 10 at this track 0 - 58 on March 8 over 7f, 7 len behind Isolyfe with 121lbs at $20. Second run from a spell won by 2.25 len at this track 0 - 62 April 6 over 1m defeating Esskay carrying 119lbs at $61. Big chance again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.