AU - Albury - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

9.9f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 6

142.0K

VIEW

Verdict

BEAR ON THE LOOSE (5) hasn't won for a long time but will prove a handful to run down when he rolls forward and under the light weight. TOURISTIC (4) finally put it all together in the Canberra Cup when surging late to score and with a much kinder draw and confidence high he is a major threat, especially if the rain arrives. PLYMOUTH (2) has been sound in two runs back against stronger company. Gets in well at the weights and should be nearing a peak, making him very competitive. NELLIE LEYLAX (3) got things back on track third-up with a solid fourth behind Touristic in the Cup. Meets the winner better at the weights and strips fitter again, so expect him to be in this for a long way. CASINO SEVENTEEN (1) is building and on his best figures is worth keeping safe.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up led but faded 3rd of 15 at Randwick Gardenia on February 7 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Sun God with 119lbs at $6. Second run from a spell gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 13 at Randwick Bm88 on February 28 over 1 ¼m, slow going nose behind Mr Monaco carrying 136lbs at $3.30. Big chance. 1st Pick 5 Bear On The Loose Jockey: Regan Bayliss Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Regan Bayliss T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	148	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up led but faded 3rd of 15 at Randwick Gardenia on February 7 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Sun God with 119lbs at $6. Second run from a spell gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 13 at Randwick Bm88 on February 28 over 1 ¼m, slow going nose behind Mr Monaco carrying 136lbs at $3.30. Big chance.
4	Most recently settled well back, won by a neck at Canberra LR Canb Cup March 8 over 1 ¼m on a soft track defeating Geemes with 119lbs at $9. The start before that from last on the turn 12th of 14 at Rosehill in the G3 Pmatta Cup on February 21 over 1 ³/16m, 4 len behind Piggyback carrying 119lbs at $41. In form and certainly worth following up. 2nd Pick 4 Touristic Jockey: Andrew Adkins Trainer: Peter Snowden J: Andrew Adkins T: Peter Snowden	145	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Most recently settled well back, won by a neck at Canberra LR Canb Cup March 8 over 1 ¼m on a soft track defeating Geemes with 119lbs at $9. The start before that from last on the turn 12th of 14 at Rosehill in the G3 Pmatta Cup on February 21 over 1 ³/16m, 4 len behind Piggyback carrying 119lbs at $41. In form and certainly worth following up.
2	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Caulfield in the G3 Heffernan on February 7 over 7f, 4 len behind Tom Kitten with 130lbs at $51. Second run from a spell 4th of 10 at Flemington in the G2 Blamey on February 28 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Birdman carrying 121lbs at $18. Key runner who should be in the finish. 3rd Pick 2 Plymouth Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	127	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 8 at Caulfield in the G3 Heffernan on February 7 over 7f, 4 len behind Tom Kitten with 130lbs at $51. Second run from a spell 4th of 10 at Flemington in the G2 Blamey on February 28 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Birdman carrying 121lbs at $18. Key runner who should be in the finish.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.