AU - Albury - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

18.6K

VIEW

Verdict

DUPLI KATE (4) is a distance specialist who looks ready to peak third-up. Big jump in grade when she found them too sharp over 6 ½f at Rosehill in VM78 grade. Adept in all conditions and has a good record at this track and trip. Finds the right race this time and can turn things around. EPAULLO CREED (5) deep into the campaign and deserves another chance after he stepped up in trip for a fading on-pace sixth over 1m at Wagga. Assess on the good second three-starts back. Each way contender. MAHOGANY GIRL (3) stretched out to the 1m for the first time this prep with a poor eighth over 1m at Wagga in the heavy (10) conditions. Finds a better race today with the senior rider going back on. Has genuine each-way claims. FUTURE FUND (8) came back in trip and improved sharply with a dominant on-pace win over 7f at Wagga. Gets map favours and can take catching again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up eased back early on 7th of 12 at Canberra Tab Fed Open 86 on May 8 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bon Frankie with 126lbs at $2.50. Second run from a spell 9th of 13 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on June 13 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Bella Corazon with 126lbs at $26. Rates highly and should prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 4 Dupli Kate Jockey: Blaike Mcdougall Trainer: Norm Gardner J: Blaike Mcdougall T: Norm Gardner	95	-	-	-	29%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up eased back early on 7th of 12 at Canberra Tab Fed Open 86 on May 8 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bon Frankie with 126lbs at $2.50. Second run from a spell 9th of 13 at Rosehill F&M Bm78 on June 13 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Bella Corazon with 126lbs at $26. Rates highly and should prove hard to beat.
5	Most recently didn't do much in the run home, 6th of 9 at Wagga Bm82 on June 21 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Mathrin with 132lbs at $19. The race before that ran last of 14 at Wagga Bm82 on June 4 over 7f, in the wet, 24 len behind Future Fund with 133lbs at $21. Working up to a win. Well placed and can return to form. 2nd Pick 5 Epaullo Creed Jockey: Quayde Krogh Trainer: Nick Olive J: Quayde Krogh T: Nick Olive	148	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Most recently didn't do much in the run home, 6th of 9 at Wagga Bm82 on June 21 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Mathrin with 132lbs at $19. The race before that ran last of 14 at Wagga Bm82 on June 4 over 7f, in the wet, 24 len behind Future Fund with 133lbs at $21. Working up to a win. Well placed and can return to form.
3	Last start ran second last of 9 at Wagga Bm82 on June 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Mathrin with 130lbs at $7.50. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at Wagga Bm82 on June 4 over 7f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Future Fund with 134lbs at $26. Back to her preferred trip in an easier race. 3rd Pick 3 Mahogany Girl Jockey: Cory Parish Trainer: Craig Widdison J: Cory Parish T: Craig Widdison	138	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Last start ran second last of 9 at Wagga Bm82 on June 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Mathrin with 130lbs at $7.50. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 14 at Wagga Bm82 on June 4 over 7f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Future Fund with 134lbs at $26. Back to her preferred trip in an easier race.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.