Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 29

Heat vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: FDSSUN and ALT2

The Denver Nuggets (22-9) are favored by 3.5 points against the Miami Heat (17-15) on Monday, December 29, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and ALT2. The matchup's point total is set at 244.5.

Heat vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (52.6%)

Heat vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Nuggets are 18-13-0 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 18-13-1 this season.
• Nuggets games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 21 times out of 32 chances this season.
• The Heat have hit the over 50% of the time this year (16 of 32 games with a set point total).
• Denver has done a better job covering the spread at home (9-6-0) than it has in road games (9-7-0).
• The Nuggets have hit the over on the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (66.7%) than road games (68.8%).
• Miami's winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .562. It is 9-7-0 ATS on its home court and 9-6-1 on the road.
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Heat's games have finished above the over/under at home (43.8%, seven of 16) than away (56.2%, nine of 16).

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic's numbers on the season are 29.9 points, 12.4 boards and 11.1 assists per contest, shooting 60.4% from the floor (ninth in NBA) and 44% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.1 made 3-pointers.
• Jamal Murray averages 25.4 points, 4.4 boards and 6.8 assists.
• Peyton Watson averages 10.7 points, 4.6 boards and 1.5 assists.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 13.2 points, 2.3 boards and 1.4 assists, shooting 46.5% from the floor and 41.2% from downtown, with 2.7 made treys per game.
• Bruce Brown's numbers on the season are 7.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 46.3% from the floor.

Heat Leaders

• Kel'el Ware averages 12.4 points for the Heat, plus 10.6 boards and 0.5 assists.
• Per game, Norman Powell provides the Heat 23.7 points, 4.1 boards and 2.7 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 16.3 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.6 assists. He is draining 52.1% of his shots from the field.
• Bam Adebayo averages 18 points, 9.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists. He is making 46.6% of his shots from the floor and 31.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.4 triples per contest.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 16.4 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists. He is draining 48.3% of his shots from the floor and 39.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 triples per contest.

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