Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 Betting Odds: Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Player Props

The Miami Heat will visit the Boston Celtics in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Wednesday night.

After sneaking into the playoffs as an eighth-seed team, the Heat shattered expectations by toppling the first-seeded Milwaukee Bucks in five games in the first round. A solid win in a six-game series against the New York Knicks have them eyeing their first NBA Finals appearance since the 2019-20 bubble playoffs.

The Celtics have had a surprisingly rocky journey to the Eastern Conference Finals. They haven’t always looked like the team that ended the regular season as the two seed, but they’ll look to build on the momentum from their 24-point Game 7 win over the Philadelphia 76ers in their previous series.

Game 1 tips off tonight at 8:30 p.m. Eastern on TNT. Here’s how the two teams stack up for Wednesday’s game at TD Garden.

Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 Betting Odds: Moneyline, Spread, and Total

• Moneyline:
  • Heat: +295
  • Celtics: -370
• Spread: Celtics -8 (-112)
• Total: 210.5

Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 Projections

Win projections via numberFire.

• Win Odds: The Celtics are 78.9% likely to win in Game 1.

Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 Player Props: Total Points, and Double-Double Odds

• Total Points:
  • Jimmy Butler: 27.5
  • Bam Adebayo: 18.5
  • Jayson Tatum: 29.5
  • Jaylen Brown: 24.5
  • Marcus Smart: 13.5
  • Malcolm Brogdon: 14.5
  • Gabe Vincent: 9.5
  • Max Strus: 11.5
  • Kyle Lowry: 10.5
  • Al Horford: 10.5
  • Kevin Love: 7.5
  • Caleb Martin: 8.5
  • Robert Williams: 7.5
• To Record a Double Double
  • Jayson Tatum: -130
  • Bam Adebayo: +125
  • Jimmy Butler: +250
  • Jaylen Brown: +550
  • Al Horford: +750
  • Robert Williams: +700
  • Kevin Love: +1000
  • Marcus Smart: +1300
  • Kyle Lowry: +2300
  • Caleb Martin: +2600
  • Malcolm Brogdon: +2800

Heat vs. Celtics Advanced Stats Breakdown

nERD via numberFire. Adjusted offensive/defensive ratings, pace, and shot distribution via DunksAndThrees.

• Heat:
  • nERD: 47.5 (22nd)
  • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 113.2 (25th)
  • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 113.4 (8th)
  • Pace: 96.3 (29th)
  • Shot Distribution and Efficiency:
    • Rim: 29.9% (29th) - 62.6% (20th)
    • Mid: 29.4% (24th) - 45.3% (7th)
    • 3PT: 40.8% (9th) - 34.4% (27th)
• Celtics:
  • nERD: 67.0 (1st)
  • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 117.9 (2nd)
  • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 111.3 (3rd)
  • Pace: 98.8 (17th)
  • Shot Distribution and Efficiency:
    • Rim: 32.3% (24th) - 65.1% (8th)
    • Mid: 19.7% (1st) - 42.8% (18th)
    • 3PT: 48.0% (2nd) - 37.7% (6th)

Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 Analysis

The Miami Heat have looked like an entirely different team in the playoffs than the team that had a negative point differential in the regular season. They have played two fewer playoff games than their Eastern Conference Finals opponent and will look to leverage that advantage on the road tonight.

Jimmy Butler has come alive in the playoffs, averaging 8.2 more points, 0.7 more rebounds, and 0.1 more assists per game than he did in the regular season. No player left in the playoffs is averaging more points per game than his impressive average (31.1 PPG).

The Celtics outscored the 76ers by 62 points in the Eastern Conference semis but still needed seven games to take the series. They’ll need to play more consistently going forward if they want to reach the finals for the second straight season. They won’t necessarily need Jayson Tatum to score 51 points in every game as he did in their last game, but it certainly couldn’t hurt.

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.