Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for December 28

Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• Venue: State Farm Arena -- Atlanta, Georgia
• Coverage: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN

The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) are at home in Southeast Division action against the Miami Heat (15-13) on Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has an over/under set at 225.5 points.

Hawks vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (56.4%)

Hawks vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Hawks have put together a 13-18-0 record against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 13-13-2 this season.
• Hawks games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 20 times out of 28 chances this season.
• The Heat have eclipsed the over/under 53.6% of the time this year (15 of 28 games with a set point total).
• At home, Atlanta has a worse record against the spread (6-10-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (7-8-0).
• The Hawks have hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (75%) than away games (53.3%).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, Miami has a better winning percentage at home (.500, 7-6-1 record) than on the road (.429, 6-7-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Heat games have gone over less frequently at home (seven of 14, 50%) than on the road (eight of 14, 57.1%).

Hawks Leaders

• Trae Young averages 22 points, 3.8 boards and 12.1 assists.
• Jalen Johnson averages 19.8 points, 10.3 boards and 5.5 assists, shooting 50.6% from the floor and 32.8% from downtown, with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Dyson Daniels averages 13 points, 5.1 boards and 3.5 assists.
• Clint Capela's numbers on the season are 9.7 points, 9.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 57.2% from the floor.
• Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 11.3 points, 1.4 assists and 6.6 boards.

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo averages 16.3 points, 9.9 rebounds and 4.9 assists. He is also draining 45.3% of his shots from the field.
• Tyler Herro's numbers on the season are 23.8 points, 5.7 boards and 4.9 assists per game. He is making 47.2% of his shots from the field and 40.5% from 3-point range, with an average of 4 treys (fourth in league).
• Jimmy Butler's numbers on the season are 18.5 points, 5.8 boards and 4.9 assists per game. He is draining 55.2% of his shots from the field.
• Terry Rozier averages 12.1 points, 4 boards and 2.9 assists. He is sinking 40.4% of his shots from the floor and 34.6% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per contest.
• The Heat get 11 points per game from Duncan Robinson, plus 2.3 boards and 2.4 assists.

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