Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 26

Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Friday, December 26, 2025
• Time: 7 p.m. ET
• Venue: State Farm Arena -- Atlanta, Georgia
• Coverage: FDSSUN, FDSSE, WANF, and Peachtree Sports Network

Two struggling teams square off when the Atlanta Hawks (15-16) host the Miami Heat (15-15) on Friday, December 26, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET. The Hawks are 3.5-point favorites as they look to stop a four-game losing streak against the Heat, losers of three straight. The over/under for the matchup is set at 250.5.

Hawks vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Hawks win (51.1%)

Hawks vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Hawks are 14-17-0 against the spread this season.
• The Heat have 16 wins against the spread in 30 games this season.
• Games involving the Hawks have hit the over 18 times out of 30 chances this season.
• Heat games this season have hit the over 15 times in 30 opportunities (50%).
• Against the spread, Atlanta has played worse when playing at home, covering four times in 14 home games, and 10 times in 17 road games.
• In home games, the Hawks exceed the over/under 50% of the time (seven of 14 games). They hit the over more often on the road, topping the total in 64.7% of games (11 of 17).
• Miami's winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .533. It is 8-7-0 ATS on its home court and 8-6-1 on the road.
• Heat games have finished above the over/under 40% of the time at home (six of 15), and 60% of the time on the road (nine of 15).

Hawks Leaders

• Jalen Johnson averages 23.8 points, 10.5 boards and 8.3 assists, shooting 52.3% from the floor and 37.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 made treys per contest.
• Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 15.7 points, 3.2 assists and 7.4 boards.
• Dyson Daniels is averaging 11.5 points, 5.7 assists and 6.4 boards.
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker averages 20.3 points, 3.5 boards and 3.3 assists, shooting 45.2% from the field and 37.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 made treys per contest.
• Zaccharie Risacher is averaging 11.1 points, 3 boards and 1.6 assists.

Heat Leaders

• Kel'el Ware averages 12.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 0.6 assists. He is also sinking 55.1% of his shots from the field and 47.4% from 3-point range (fourth in league), with 1.2 triples per game.
• Per game, Jaime Jaquez Jr. gives the Heat 15.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.7 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Per game, Norman Powell gets the Heat 23.7 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists, plus 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• The Heat receive 18 points per game from Bam Adebayo, plus 9.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists.
• The Heat are receiving 15.8 points, 4.7 boards and 2.8 assists per game from Andrew Wiggins.

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