Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's (CA) Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for WCC Tournament Championship

The No. 2 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (24-8, 14-4 WCC) square off against the No. 1 Saint Mary's Gaels (28-4, 17-1 WCC) in the championship game of the WCC tournament on Tuesday at 9 p.m. ET. The winner earns an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 11, 2025
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Paradise, Nevada
• Arena: Orleans Arena

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Saint Mary's (CA) win (50.4%)

Gonzaga is a 3.5-point favorite against Saint Mary's (CA) on Tuesday and the over/under has been set at 139.5 points. Here are a few betting insights and trends before you decide to wager on the matchup.

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Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Gonzaga has put together a 13-19-0 record against the spread this season.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• Gonzaga (13-18) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (41.9%) than Saint Mary's (CA) (2-0) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (100%).
• The Bulldogs own a worse record against the spread in home games (4-10-0) than they do in away games (6-4-0).
• The Gaels have performed better against the spread on the road (7-3-0) than at home (6-10-0) this season.
• Gonzaga is 7-12-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has covered the spread 11 times in 19 WCC games.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA): Moneyline Betting Stats

• Gonzaga has won in 20, or 71.4%, of the 28 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This year, the Bulldogs have won 20 of 27 games when listed as at least -166 or better on the moneyline.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has won all three of the games it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Gaels have played as a moneyline underdog of +138 or longer in only one game this season, which they won.
• Gonzaga has an implied victory probability of 62.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Head-to-Head Comparison

• Gonzaga is outscoring opponents by 17.3 points per game with a +554 scoring differential overall. It puts up 87.5 points per game (second in college basketball) and gives up 70.2 per outing (125th in college basketball).
• Graham Ike ranks 99th in the nation with a team-leading 17.3 points per game.
• Saint Mary's (CA) is outscoring opponents by 13.4 points per game, with a +431 scoring differential overall. It puts up 74.2 points per game (164th in college basketball) and gives up 60.8 per contest (fifth in college basketball).
• Augustas Marciulionis is ranked 341st in the country with a team-leading 14.3 points per game.
• The Bulldogs record 35.3 rebounds per game (32nd in college basketball) while conceding 28.6 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 6.7 boards per game.
• Ike averages 7.5 rebounds per game (ranking 107th in college basketball) to lead the Bulldogs.
• The Gaels rank 10th in the country at 36.5 rebounds per game. That's 10.6 more than the 25.9 their opponents average.
• Paulius Murauskas averages 8.2 rebounds per game (52nd in college basketball) to lead the Gaels.
• Gonzaga ranks second in college basketball with 109.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 51st in college basketball defensively with 87.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Gaels rank 73rd in college basketball with 100.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and fifth defensively with 82.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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