Florida vs Missouri College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 3

The Florida Gators (9-4, 0-0 SEC) will look to extend a four-game win streak when they visit the Missouri Tigers (10-3, 0-0 SEC) on January 3, 2026 at Mizzou Arena.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Florida vs. Missouri Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: SEC Network
- Location: Columbia, Missouri
- Arena: Mizzou Arena
Florida vs. Missouri Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (60.1%)
Take a look at some betting insights for Florida (-7.5) versus Missouri on Saturday. The over/under is set at 154.5 points for this game.
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Florida vs. Missouri: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Florida has compiled a 5-8-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Missouri has put together a 5-8-0 ATS record so far this season.
- Florida covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point favorite or more 30% of the time. That's more often than Missouri covers as an underdog of 7.5 or more (never covered this season).
- When playing at home last season, the Gators owned a better record against the spread (11-5-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (6-4-0).
- Last year, the Tigers were 11-8-0 at home against the spread (.579 winning percentage). On the road, they were 5-5-0 ATS (.500).
Florida vs. Missouri: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Florida has come away with five wins in the seven contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- The Gators have a mark of 5-1 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -319 or better on the moneyline.
- Missouri has been the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and it lost both games.
- The Tigers have played as a moneyline underdog of +255 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
- Florida has an implied victory probability of 76.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Florida vs. Missouri Head-to-Head Comparison
- Florida has a +191 scoring differential, topping opponents by 14.7 points per game. It is putting up 85.1 points per game to rank 59th in college basketball and is giving up 70.4 per outing to rank 109th in college basketball.
- Thomas Haugh's 16.7 points per game lead Florida and are 140th in the nation.
- Missouri has a +160 scoring differential, topping opponents by 12.3 points per game. It is putting up 83.8 points per game, 72nd in college basketball, and is giving up 71.5 per outing to rank 141st in college basketball.
- Mark Mitchell is ranked 109th in college basketball with a team-leading 17.2 points per game.
- The Gators record 43.8 rebounds per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 26.1 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 17.7 boards per game.
- Rueben Chinyelu is eighth in college basketball action with 11.1 rebounds per game to lead the Gators.
- The 33.5 rebounds per game the Tigers accumulate rank 170th in college basketball, 7.4 more than the 26.1 their opponents record.
- Mitchell leads the team with 5.8 rebounds per game (347th in college basketball).
- Florida ranks 102nd in college basketball with 101.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 42nd in college basketball defensively with 84.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- The Tigers average 106.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (46th in college basketball), and concede 90.7 points per 100 possessions (152nd in college basketball).
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