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Florida vs Maryland Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

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Florida vs Maryland Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

A Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup features the No. 1 Florida Gators (32-4) and No. 4 Maryland Terrapins (27-8) to decide which of the squads is heading to the West regional final when it tips off on Thursday at Chase Center, starting at 7:39 p.m. ET, airing on TBS.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Maryland Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Thursday, March 27, 2025
  • Game time: 7:39 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: TBS
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Florida vs. Maryland Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (61.7%)

Take a look at these betting insights and trends before you wager on Thursday's Florida-Maryland spread (Florida -6.5) or total (156.5 points).

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Florida vs. Maryland: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Florida has covered 25 times in 36 chances against the spread this season.
  • Maryland has put together a 19-16-0 ATS record so far this season.
  • The Gators sport a better record against the spread when playing at home (11-5-0) than they do in away games (6-4-0).
  • Against the spread, the Terrapins have been better at home (12-7-0) than away (4-6-0).

Florida vs. Maryland: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Florida has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 29 games this year and has walked away with the win 27 times (93.1%) in those games.
  • The Gators have a win-loss record of 19-1 when favored by -319 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Maryland has been the underdog on the moneyline six total times this season. Maryland has gone 3-3 in those games.
  • The Terrapins have not yet played a game with moneyline odds of +260 or longer.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Florida has a 76.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Florida vs. Maryland Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Florida is outscoring opponents by 16 points per game with a +578 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.4 points per game (third in college basketball) and allows 69.4 per contest (88th in college basketball).
  • Walter Clayton Jr.'s 17.9 points per game lead Florida and rank 77th in the country.
  • Maryland outscores opponents by 14.8 points per game (posting 81.4 points per game, 24th in college basketball, and conceding 66.6 per outing, 40th in college basketball) and has a +517 scoring differential.
  • Derik Queen's 16.2 points per game paces Maryland and ranks 175th in the country.
  • The Gators prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 8.6 boards. They are recording 39.1 rebounds per game (third in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.5 per contest.
  • Alex Condon leads the team with 7.8 rebounds per game (73rd in college basketball play).
  • The Terrapins pull down 33.8 rebounds per game (69th in college basketball) while conceding 30.7 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.1 boards per game.
  • Queen is 26th in the nation with 9.1 rebounds per game, leading the Terrapins.
  • Florida ranks 14th in college basketball with 105.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 14th in college basketball defensively with 85.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • The Terrapins rank 29th in college basketball with 103.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and eighth defensively with 84.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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