Florida vs Houston Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament National Championship

The national championship will be earned after the Florida Gators (35-4) and Houston Cougars (35-4) meet in the final game of the NCAA Tournament on Monday at Alamodome, tipping off at 8:50 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Houston Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Monday, April 7, 2025
• Game time: 8:50 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: San Antonio, Texas
• Arena: Alamodome

Florida vs. Houston Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (51.5%)

Before you place a wager on Florida-Houston contest (in which Florida is a 1.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 140.5 points), below are a few betting trends and insights for Monday's game.

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Florida vs. Houston: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has covered 27 times in 39 matchups with a spread this season.
• Houston has compiled a 22-16-0 record against the spread this year.
• When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Florida (24-10) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (70.6%) than Houston (1-0) does as the underdog (100%).
• The Gators sport a better record against the spread at home (11-5-0) than they do in road games (6-4-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Cougars have a lower winning percentage at home (.588, 10-7-0 record) than away (.700, 7-3-0).

Florida vs. Houston: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 32 games this year and has walked away with the win 30 times (93.8%) in those games.
• The Gators have a mark of 30-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -114 or better on the moneyline.
• Houston has been the moneyline underdog only one other time so far this season, a game it won.
• The Cougars have played as a moneyline underdog of -105 or longer in only one game this season, which they won.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Florida has a 53.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Florida vs. Houston Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida outscores opponents by 15.5 points per game (scoring 85.3 per game to rank third in college basketball while giving up 69.8 per contest to rank 103rd in college basketball) and has a +605 scoring differential overall.
• Florida's leading scorer, Walter Clayton Jr., ranks 61st in the country averaging 18.5 points per game.
• Houston's +602 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 73.9 points per game (175th in college basketball) while allowing 58.5 per contest (first in college basketball).
• LJ Cryer's team-leading 15.6 points per game rank him 221st in the country.
• The 39 rebounds per game the Gators average rank second in the nation, and are 8.8 more than the 30.2 their opponents collect per outing.
• Alex Condon is 88th in college basketball play with 7.6 rebounds per game to lead the Gators.
• The Cougars come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 6.5 boards. They are pulling down 33.2 rebounds per game (104th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 26.7.
• J'wan Roberts is 233rd in the nation with 6.5 rebounds per game, leading the Cougars.
• Florida's 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 14th in college basketball, and the 86 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 18th in college basketball.
• The Cougars average 102.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (42nd in college basketball), and allow 80.8 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).

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