Florida vs Houston Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament National Championship

The national championship will be awarded after the Florida Gators (35-4) and Houston Cougars (35-4) play in the final game of the NCAA Tournament on Monday at Alamodome, starting at 8:50 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Houston Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Monday, April 7, 2025
• Game time: 8:50 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: San Antonio, Texas
• Arena: Alamodome

Florida vs. Houston Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (51.5%)

Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before placing a bet on Monday's Florida-Houston spread (Florida -1.5) or over/under (140.5 points).

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Florida vs. Houston: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has put together a 27-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Houston has won 22 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 16 times.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Houston is 1-0 against the spread compared to the 24-10 ATS record Florida racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• Against the spread, the Gators have performed better when playing at home, covering 11 times in 16 home games, and six times in 10 road games.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Cougars have a lower winning percentage at home (.588, 10-7-0 record) than away (.700, 7-3-0).

Florida vs. Houston: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has won in 30, or 93.8%, of the 32 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Gators have been victorious 30 times in 32 chances when named as a favorite of at least -114 or better on the moneyline.
• Houston has been listed as the moneyline underdog just one other time so far this season, a game it won.
• The Cougars have played as a moneyline underdog of -105 or longer in just one game this season, which they won.
• Florida has an implied victory probability of 53.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Florida vs. Houston Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida's +605 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 85.3 points per game (third in college basketball) while giving up 69.8 per outing (103rd in college basketball).
• Walter Clayton Jr. paces Florida, putting up 18.5 points per game (61st in the country).
• Houston has a +602 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.4 points per game. It is putting up 73.9 points per game, 175th in college basketball, and is allowing 58.5 per contest to rank first in college basketball.
• LJ Cryer's team-leading 15.6 points per game rank him 221st in the nation.
• The Gators rank second in the nation at 39.0 rebounds per game. That's 8.8 more than the 30.2 their opponents average.
• Alex Condon is 88th in college basketball action with 7.6 rebounds per game to lead the Gators.
• The Cougars pull down 33.2 rebounds per game (104th in college basketball) while allowing 26.7 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 6.5 boards per game.
• J'wan Roberts paces the team with 6.5 rebounds per game (233rd in college basketball).
• Florida's 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 14th in college basketball, and the 86.0 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 18th in college basketball.
• The Cougars rank 42nd in college basketball with 102.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and second defensively with 80.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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