Florida vs Auburn Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Final Four

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (34-4, 14-4 SEC) and No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers (32-5, 15-3 SEC) will each try to secure a place in the NCAA Tournament national championship game when they meet in the Final Four on Saturday at Alamodome, tipping off at 6:09 p.m. ET, airing on CBS.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Florida vs. Auburn Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, April 5, 2025
- Game time: 6:09 p.m. ET
- TV channel: CBS
- Location: San Antonio, Texas
- Arena: Alamodome
Florida vs. Auburn Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (55.4%)
Before you place a wager on Florida-Auburn contest (in which Florida is a 2.5-point favorite and the total is set at 159.5 points), below are a few betting insights and trends for Saturday's game.
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Florida vs. Auburn: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Florida has won 26 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
- Auburn is 21-16-0 ATS this season.
- Florida (23-10) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (69.7%) than Auburn (1-1) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (50%).
- When playing at home, the Gators own a better record against the spread (11-5-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (6-4-0).
- This season, the Tigers are 8-7-0 at home against the spread (.533 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-5-0 ATS (.500).
- Florida has covered the spread 15 times in 21 conference games.
- Auburn has beaten the spread eight times in 20 SEC games.
Florida vs. Auburn: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Florida has won in 29, or 93.5%, of the 31 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
- This year, the Gators have won 28 of 30 games when listed as at least -152 or better on the moneyline.
- Auburn has been the underdog on the moneyline three total times this season. Auburn has finished 2-1 in those games.
- The Tigers have played as a moneyline underdog of +126 or longer in only two games this season, which they split 1-1.
- Florida has an implied victory probability of 60.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Florida vs. Auburn Head-to-Head Comparison
- Florida averages 85.4 points per game (third in college basketball) while giving up 69.7 per outing (98th in college basketball). It has a +599 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 15.7 points per game.
- Walter Clayton Jr. paces Florida, recording 18.1 points per game (69th in the nation).
- Auburn's +521 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 14 points per game) is a result of putting up 83.2 points per game (12th in college basketball) while allowing 69.2 per outing (85th in college basketball).
- Johni Broome's 18.7 points per game leads Auburn and ranks 57th in the nation.
- The Gators grab 39.1 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while allowing 30.3 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 8.8 boards per game.
- Alex Condon averages 7.7 rebounds per game (ranking 80th in college basketball) to lead the Gators.
- The 34.5 rebounds per game the Tigers accumulate rank 50th in college basketball, 5.1 more than the 29.4 their opponents grab.
- Broome leads the team with 10.9 rebounds per game (fifth in college basketball).
- Florida averages 105.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (12th in college basketball), and gives up 85.9 points per 100 possessions (17th in college basketball).
- The Tigers' 106.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank eighth in college basketball, and the 88.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 50th in college basketball.
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