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Florida vs Auburn Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Final Four

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Florida vs Auburn Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Final Four

A berth in the NCAA Tournament national championship game is up for grabs when the No. 1 seed Florida Gators (34-4, 14-4 SEC) and the No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers (32-5, 15-3 SEC) square off in the Final Four on Saturday at 6:09 p.m. ET at Alamodome (airing on CBS).

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Auburn Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Game time: 6:09 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS
  • Location: San Antonio, Texas
  • Arena: Alamodome

Florida vs. Auburn Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (55.4%)

Take a look at these betting insights and trends before you bet on Saturday's Florida-Auburn spread (Florida -2.5) or over/under (158.5 points).

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Florida vs. Auburn: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Florida has covered 26 times in 38 games with a spread this season.
  • Auburn is 21-16-0 ATS this season.
  • Florida (23-10) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (69.7%) than Auburn (1-1) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (50%).
  • The Gators own a better record against the spread in home games (11-5-0) than they do on the road (6-4-0).
  • The Tigers have performed better against the spread at home (8-7-0) than on the road (5-5-0) this season.
  • Florida has 15 wins against the spread in 21 conference games this season.
  • Auburn has eight wins against the spread in 20 SEC games this year.

Florida vs. Auburn: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Florida has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 31 games this year and has walked away with the win 29 times (93.5%) in those games.
  • This season, the Gators have come away with a win 29 times in 31 chances when named as a favorite of at least -144 or better on the moneyline.
  • Auburn has won two of the three games it was the moneyline underdog this season (66.7%).
  • The Tigers have played as a moneyline underdog of +118 or longer in just two games this season, which they split 1-1.
  • Florida has an implied victory probability of 59% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Florida vs. Auburn Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Florida has a +599 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.7 points per game. It is putting up 85.4 points per game to rank third in college basketball and is giving up 69.7 per contest to rank 98th in college basketball.
  • Florida's leading scorer, Walter Clayton Jr., is 69th in college basketball putting up 18.1 points per game.
  • Auburn's +521 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 14 points per game) is a result of putting up 83.2 points per game (12th in college basketball) while allowing 69.2 per outing (85th in college basketball).
  • Johni Broome's 18.7 points per game paces Auburn and ranks 57th in the country.
  • The Gators grab 39.1 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while conceding 30.3 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 8.8 boards per game.
  • Alex Condon is 80th in college basketball action with 7.7 rebounds per game to lead the Gators.
  • The Tigers win the rebound battle by 5.1 boards on average. They record 34.5 rebounds per game, 50th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.4.
  • Broome's 10.9 rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank fifth in the country.
  • Florida's 105.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 12th in college basketball, and the 85.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 17th in college basketball.
  • The Tigers' 106.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank eighth in college basketball, and the 88.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 50th in college basketball.

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