FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Sunday 8/20/23
Our daily fantasy helper is available every day to analyze FanDuel's main slate and help give you a starting point when you're building lineups.
Be sure to also incorporate numberFire's great tools into your research process, including daily projections, the latest starting lineups and weather, and batting and pitching heat maps to find the best matchups.
Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.
Pitchers
Max Scherzer ($10,900)
At his highest salary point this season, the Rangers' veteran stands as Sunday's top ranked pitcher with a 36.8 FanDuel point projection against a Milwaukee Brewers' lineup with a .308 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and a 22.9% K-rate in their last 2250 plate appearances.
Since joining the Rangers on August 3rd, Scherzer has been in outstanding form in his three starts despite switching to the American League, accounting for a 2.56 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating (xFIP), an eye-popping 17.6% swinging strike percentage, and a stellar 35.1% K-rate.
With a 32.8% strikeout percentage and a 3.12 xFIP versus right-handed hitters this season, the 39-year old's path to potentially surpassing his slate-high 6.73 strikeout prediction will depend on his success versus four projected Milwaukee batters with K-rates between 19.7% and 25.9%.
Max Fried ($9,800)
After a 7.5% decrease to his median salary in August, Atlanta's left-hander will make his ninth start this season versus a San Francisco Giants with a .317 wOBA and a 23.7% K-rate.
As numberFire's second rated pitcher with a 33.2 fantasy projection, the 29-year old appears primed for a big performance versus a Giants' team ranked 25th in on-base percentage against left-handed pitching this season especially after producing a 3.10 xFIP and a 2.99 Skill Interactive Earned Run Average (SIERA) in three starts since returning from injury.
Hunter Brown ($9,700)
In his second encounter against a Seattle Mariners' lineup with a 30.8% K-rate, Houston's rookie is currently ranked third overall with a 32.6 FanDuel point projection.
Through his most recent 38.2 innings, the Astros' hard-thrower has maintained strong skill based metrics despite a bloated 5.40 Earned Run Average during this time period, producing an underrated 3.65 xFIP, 24.6% K-rate, and 3.69 SIERA.
With positive regression heading his way, Brown has a great opportunity to reduce his misleading ERA and record a quality start against five Seattle batters with K-rates over 29.3%.
Stacks
Despite the Cardinals' recent offensive drought in their past four games (5 total runs), the Red Birds are primed for an explosion with a slate-high 5.56 expected run total against Carlos Carrasco.
Through his third season with the Mets, Carrasco has been really hit a low point in 18 starts, producing a career worst 4.98 xFIP, 16.1% K-rate, and a 9.9% walk percentage.
To best exploit Carrasco's profile, optimal Cardinals' stacks can feature their top fly-ball hitters to counter his heavy 47.1% ground ball percentage including Alec Burleson (.265 expected average, 24.1% fly-ball rate), Paul Goldschmidt (27.2% fly-ball percentage, 11.9% barrel rate), Nolan Arenado (27.1% fly-ball percentage, 8.7% barrel rate), and Willson Contreras (20.9% fly-ball percentage, 11.5% barrel rate).
Ranking fifth among today's offenses with a 5.03 expected run total, the Twins could be an overlooked option against Pittsburgh's rookie right-hander Osvaldo Bido and his massive trouble against left-handed bats.
With his main weakness in mind, Minnesota's lineup contains plenty of options throughout their order including Edouard Julien (.350 expected wOBA, 13.1% barrel rate), Max Kepler (13.1% barrel rate, .355 expected wOBA), Jorge Polanco (14.4% barrel rate, .347 expected wOBA), Joey Gallo (19.7% barrel rate), and Matt Wallner (16.7% barrel rate, .392 expected wOBA) if he is available.
In a great spot versus Jordan Lyles, MLB's sixth ranked offense in runs during August contains an underrated 5.51 expected total against a declining veteran with a 5.35 xFIP and a glaring inability to get outs versus both sides of the plate (5.49 xFIP versus LHH, 5.20 xFIP against RHH).
Ideal Chicago stacks should group together their top power bats to exploit Lyles' 10.3% opposing barrel rate including Cody Bellinger (.266 expected average, .443 expected slugging percentage), Christopher Morel (.480 expected slugging percentage, 15.2% barrel rate), Ian Happ (9.0% barrel rate), Dansby Swanson (12.8% barrel rate, .476 expected slugging percentage), and Seiya Suzuki (8.9% barrel rate, .416 expected slugging percentage).
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.