East Carolina vs UTSA Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for AAC Tournament

The No. 6 seed East Carolina Pirates (18-13, 10-8 AAC) square off in the AAC tournament against the No. 11 seed UTSA Roadrunners (12-18, 6-12 AAC) on Thursday at Dickies Arena, beginning at 9:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

East Carolina vs. UTSA Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Fort Worth, Texas
• Arena: Dickies Arena

East Carolina vs. UTSA Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: East Carolina win (57.9%)

Take a look at some betting insights for East Carolina (-4.5) versus UTSA on Thursday. The total is set at 148.5 points for this game.

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East Carolina vs. UTSA: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• East Carolina is 13-16-0 ATS this season.
• UTSA has compiled a 17-11-0 record against the spread this year.
• East Carolina covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 38.5% of the time. That's less often than UTSA covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (71.4%).
• When playing at home, the Pirates sport a worse record against the spread (7-9-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (5-5-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Roadrunners have a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 6-6-0 record) than on the road (.667, 10-5-0).
• East Carolina is 8-10-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
• UTSA has covered the spread 12 times in 18 AAC games.

East Carolina vs. UTSA: Moneyline Betting Stats

• East Carolina has been victorious in 13, or 72.2%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Pirates have been victorious nine times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -210 or shorter on the moneyline.
• UTSA has been the underdog on the moneyline 19 total times this season. UTSA has gone 5-14 in those games.
• The Roadrunners have a 2-11 record (winning just 15.4% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +172 or longer.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that East Carolina has a 67.7% chance of pulling out a win.

East Carolina vs. UTSA Head-to-Head Comparison

• East Carolina has a +80 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.6 points per game. It is putting up 76 points per game to rank 118th in college basketball and is allowing 73.4 per contest to rank 225th in college basketball.
• RJ Felton leads East Carolina, averaging 18.5 points per game (58th in the nation).
• UTSA has a +1 scoring differential, putting up 77.1 points per game (94th in college basketball) and giving up 77.1 (315th in college basketball).
• Amir Spears' 19.8 points per game paces UTSA and ranks 24th in the nation.
• The Pirates are 53rd in college basketball at 34.5 rebounds per game. That's 3.5 more than the 31 their opponents average.
• Felton's 6.5 rebounds per game lead the Pirates and rank 234th in college basketball play.
• The 29.4 rebounds per game the Roadrunners accumulate rank 321st in the country, 4.9 fewer than the 34.3 their opponents record.
• Jonnivius Smith tops the Roadrunners with 7.4 rebounds per game (120th in college basketball).
• East Carolina ranks 164th in college basketball with 96.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 166th in college basketball defensively with 92.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Roadrunners rank 156th in college basketball averaging 96.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 271st, allowing 96.6 points per 100 possessions.

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