Duke vs Texas College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 4

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The Duke Blue Devils square off against the Texas Longhorns on November 4, 2025 ET in the first game of the 2025-26 season for both teams.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. Texas Game Info and Odds

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (80%)

Before you bet on Tuesday's Duke-Texas spread (Duke -8.5) or total (153.5 points), see the betting insights and trends below.

Duke compiled a 25-14-0 ATS record last year.
Texas covered 16 times in 35 chances against the spread last season.
As an 8.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Duke was 20-9 against the spread compared to the 1-2 ATS record Texas posted as an 8.5-point underdog.
The Blue Devils covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games last year. They covered 11 times in 17 games at home, and they covered nine times in 11 games on the road.
In 2024-25 against the spread, the Longhorns had a lower winning percentage at home (.444, 8-10-0 record) than on the road (.500, 5-5-0).

Duke won 89.2% of the games last season in which it was favored on the moneyline (33-4).
The Blue Devils won all 25 games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -450 or shorter.
Texas was an underdog 14 times last season and won four, or 28.6%, of those games.
Last season, the Longhorns were at least a +340 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
Based on this game's moneyline, Duke's implied win probability is 81.8%.

Last year, Duke was 11th-best in college basketball offensively (83.2 points scored per game) and seventh-best defensively (62.8 points conceded).
Duke was the 24th-best squad in the nation in rebounds per game (35.6) and 12th-best in rebounds conceded (27.3) last season.
Duke was 17th-best in the country in assists (16.9 per game) last season.
In terms of turnovers, Duke was ninth-best in the nation in committing them (8.9 per game) last season. It was 265th in forcing them (10.4 per game).
Last season Texas put up 78.5 points per game (65th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendered 72.6 points per contest (199th-ranked).
With 32.7 boards per game, Texas ranked 142nd in the country. It gave up 31.3 rebounds per contest, which ranked 187th in college basketball.
Texas ranked 227th in the country with 12.9 dimes per game.
Texas committed 9.5 turnovers per game (35th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while forcing 10.9 turnovers per contest (215th-ranked).

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