Duke vs SMU Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for January 4

A pair of streaking teams square off when the Duke Blue Devils (11-2, 3-0 ACC) visit the SMU Mustangs (11-2, 2-0 ACC) on January 4, 2025. The Blue Devils will put their seven-game win streak on the line against the Mustangs, winners of seven straight.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. SMU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Game time: 2:15 PM ET
• TV channel: The CW
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Arena: Moody Coliseum

Duke vs. SMU Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (67.2%)

Before you wager on Saturday's Duke-SMU spread (Duke -8.5) or total (147.5 points), read the betting insights and trends below.

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Duke vs. SMU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Duke has won eight games against the spread this season, while failing to cover five times.
• SMU is 7-6-0 ATS this year.
• The Blue Devils covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games last season. They covered 11 times in 18 opportunities at home, and they covered five times in 11 opportunities in away games.
• Last year, the Mustangs were 6-10-0 at home against the spread (.375 winning percentage). On the road, they were 7-5-0 ATS (.583).

Duke vs. SMU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Duke has come away with nine wins in the 11 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Blue Devils have not lost in seven games this year when favored by -365 or better on the moneyline.
• SMU has been listed as the moneyline underdog just one other time so far this season, a game it lost.
• The Mustangs have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +285 or longer.
• Duke has an implied victory probability of 78.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Duke vs. SMU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Duke averages 79.6 points per game (91st in college basketball) while allowing 59 per contest (seventh in college basketball). It has a +268 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 20.6 points per game.
• Cooper Flagg's 16.9 points per game lead Duke and are 119th in the country.
• SMU outscores opponents by 16.4 points per game (posting 87.2 points per game, 11th in college basketball, and allowing 70.8 per outing, 171st in college basketball) and has a +213 scoring differential.
• Kevin Miller is ranked 221st in the country with a team-leading 15.4 points per game.
• The Blue Devils rank 26th in the nation at 37.1 rebounds per game. That's 8.8 more than the 28.3 their opponents average.
• Flagg averages 8.2 rebounds per game (ranking 64th in college basketball) to lead the Blue Devils.
• The Mustangs rank 30th in the country at 36.8 rebounds per game. That's 9.1 more than the 27.7 their opponents average.
• Matt Cross averages 8.2 rebounds per game (64th in college basketball) to lead the Mustangs.
• Duke scores 105.1 points per 100 possessions (38th in college basketball), while giving up 77.9 points per 100 possessions (sixth in college basketball).
• The Mustangs' 106.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 26th in college basketball, and the 86.4 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 88th in college basketball.

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