Daily Fantasy Football Picks and Helper: Divisional Round Saturday

The Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs will kick off with two games on Saturday. The first will begin at 4:30 p.m. ET between the Houston Texans and the Baltimore Ravens and then conclude with the Green Bay Packers traveling West to square off against the San Francisco 49ers at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Let's take a look at some of the best daily fantasy football plays at each position -- accounting for salary -- for Saturday's Divisional Round FanDuel main slate.

Slate Overview

Here is a snapshot of each team's outlook, including opponent, implied team total, over/under, and spread based on FanDuel Sportsbook odds, and opponent defensive ranks for overall defense, pass defense, and rush defense, based on numberFire's Net Expected Points (NEP) model.

Quarterbacks

Lamar Jackson ($8,700) -- Lamar Jackson has posted 32-plus FanDuel points in two of his last four games and carries the highest ceiling of any of the quarterbacks on Saturday's main slate. While Jackson has found the end zone only five times with his legs, the Texans have given up the most rushing touchdowns (7) to quarterbacks among the teams playing this weekend. Houston's defense was also tied for the most 300-yard passers allowed this season with seven, so Jackson could have an explosive performance through the air.

Brock Purdy ($7,800) -- Brock Purdy had just one game this season where he finished with more than 32 attempts, yet he has the most expected points added per drop back (0.24) and the second-best passing success rate (56.4%) among quarterbacks, via NextGenStats. Meanwhile, the Packers are surrendering the ninth-most expected points added per drop back (-0.01) and the 10th-most FanDuel points allowed per drop back (0.44) to quarterbacks.

Jordan Love ($7,400) -- Jordan Love has thrown multiple touchdowns in five consecutive games and has 22-plus FanDuel points in three of his last four outings. Love has faced a defense that is top-10 in FanDuel points allowed to quarterbacks three times this season, and he tallied at least 22 FanDuel points in all of those contests. The toughest factor in using Love is trying to decipher who to stack with him, as the Packers deploy a handful of notable skill players.

C.J. Stroud ($7,200) -- Despite facing a stingy Cleveland Browns defense last week, C.J. Stroud tallied 274 yards and three touchdowns. The Browns are third in schedule-adjusted pass defense while the Ravens are first in schedule-adjusted pass defense, per numberFire's metrics. The matchups have been tough for Stroud in recent weeks, but the rookie quarterback has proven he can still be effective in an offense that loves to push the ball down the field.

Running Backs

Christian McCaffrey ($10,800) -- Christian McCaffrey averages 22.36 FanDuel points per game this season and possesses the highest floor -- and ceiling -- at any position. The All-Pro back for the 49ers led the league in rushing yards (1,459) and rushing yards over expected (349) while also recording the second-most rushing touchdowns (14) among running backs. The Packers are 29th in run defense success rate and have given up the most rushing touchdowns (14) to running backs among teams remaining in the playoffs. Everyone is going to try to fit McCaffrey into their lineups on Saturday.

Aaron Jones ($7,400) -- The ceiling for Aaron Jones is largely dependent on whether or not A.J. Dillon makes his return to the lineup. Dillon hasn't returned to practice yet because of thumb and neck injuries, which isn't a positive sign for his availability. Regardless of Dillon's status, Jones has registered 20-plus carries, 111-plus rushing yards, and 13-plus FanDuel points in four consecutive games. After scoring three times against the Dallas Cowboys last week, Jones will face a 49ers squad that is surrendering the seventh-most expected points added per attempt (-0.04) on the ground.

Gus Edwards ($6,900) -- The Ravens have one of the most effective rushing attacks in the NFL, and they are nearly double-digit favorites at home on Saturday. While the Texans have a stout run defense, they have allowed the fifth-most rushing touchdowns (20) in the league. Gus Edwards has seized the goal-line role in Baltimore's offense with a team-high 13 rushing touchdowns.

Devin Singletary ($6,400) -- Similar to Stroud, it isn't a favorable matchup for Devin Singletary. While the Ravens allow the fifth-fewest FanDuel points per game to running backs, they are 18th in defensive success rate against the run. Since Week 9, Singletary leads the running backs on the Texans with a 69.4% snap share. Despite not being a popular choice at running back on Saturday, Singletary has managed to reach double-digit FanDuel points in eight of his last 10 games.

Others to consider:

• Justice Hill ($5,300) -- In the final three games of the regular season, Justice Hill commanded the second-highest target share (21.7%) on the Ravens. The Texans are also 24th in yards per route run (YPRR) allowed to running backs at 1.12 yards.

Wide Receivers

Nico Collins ($8,700) -- The Texans are relying on Nico Collins as a true No. 1 receiver, and he's delivered with 19-plus FanDuel points in four of his last seven contests. Since Tank Dell suffered a season-ending leg injury in Week 12, Collins leads the Texans in target share (34.3%), red-zone target share (35.7%), end-zone target share (50%), and YPRR (5.85). Volume shouldn't be an issue for Collins on Saturday, so he is worth rostering despite it being a poor matchup on paper for the big-play wideout.

Deebo Samuel ($8,300) -- Only McCaffrey boasts a higher red-zone opportunity share than Deebo Samuel on the 49ers. Given his usage as a receiver and rushing option, Samuel edged out Brandon Aiyuk in FanDuel points per game. Samuel had 13.35 FanDuel points, and Aiyuk had 13.23 FanDuel points per game. Aside from being 26th in catch rate over expected to receivers, Green Bay's defense is also 20th in rushing yards over expected per attempt to wideouts this season.

Brandon Aiyuk ($7,900) -- Aiyuk has emerged as a legitimate WR1 for the 49ers, notching team-high marks in target share (24.5%), YPRR (3.24), and receiving yards per game (87.8). The talented pass catcher finished the regular season having posted 100-plus receiving yards and/or at least one touchdown in eight of his last 10 games. The Packers are 17th in FanDuel points allowed per target (1.41) to opposing receivers.

Zay Flowers ($7,000) -- Zay Flowers appears to be ready to go on Saturday despite dealing with a hip injury. The rookie wideout led the Ravens in route participation (91.8%) and target share (24%) while registering the second-most YPRR (1.86) during the regular season. The Texans are 32nd in catch rate over expected and 31st in average depth of target (aDOT) allowed to wide receivers.

Others to consider:

• Dontayvion Wicks ($5,700) -- Within Green Bay's arsenal of young weapons, Dontayvion Wicks has scored four touchdowns in his last three games. Wicks could see his role slightly altered in the offense if Christian Watson plays on Saturday.
• Odell Beckham ($5,600) -- Houston's defense is susceptible to explosive plays through the air, and Odell Beckham leads the Ravens in air yards share (25.4%) and aDOT (14.6).

Tight Ends

George Kittle ($6,400) -- With how well-rounded the 49ers are on offense, George Kittle can sometimes be forgotten. Kittle logged the second-highest air yards share (23.8%), the second-most YPRR (2.46), and the second-highest end-zone target share (23.8%) in San Francisco's efficient offense. On top of that, the Packers are 28th in YPRR (1.52), 31st in receiving touchdowns allowed (10), and 30th in FanDuel points per target (1.65) given up to the tight end position.

Mark Andrews ($6,000) -- It remains to be seen if Mark Andrews makes his long-awaited return for the Ravens on Saturday. Andrews made a leaping grab in practice on Tuesday, so there is optimism he is active for the first time since Week 11. We'll need to know his status before determining whether or not he's a viable play with the second-highest salary among tight ends.

Dalton Schultz ($5,800) -- The Ravens are permitting the second-fewest receiving touchdowns (3) and the fifth-fewest YPRR (1.16) to tight ends. That being said, Dalton Schultz has become a reliable option for Stroud, and the Texans are running out of pass catchers due to injuries. In his last five games, Schultz owns the second-highest target share (18%), the second-highest air yards share (19%), and the second-highest red-zone target share (23.5%) among players on the Texans who will be active on Saturday.

Others to consider:

• Isaiah Likely ($5,500) -- Even if Andrews returns, Isaiah Likely deserves to maintain a role with 10-plus FanDuel points in four of his last five appearances. The Texans are 32nd in receptions (111) and receiving yards (1,133) allowed to tight ends. If Andrews is out again, Likely becomes the best value option at tight end.
• Luke Musgrave ($5,100) -- While playing on only 27.8% of snaps in last week's win over the Cowboys, Luke Musgrave made the most of his limited snaps with three catches for 52 yards and a score. It wouldn't come as a surprise if Musgrave's snap count increases on Saturday.

Defenses

San Francisco D/ST ($4,500) -- The 49ers are nearly double-digit favorites at home against a quarterback who is still in his first year as a starter. San Francisco's defense and special teams unit averages a solid 8.29 FanDuel points per game and has the 10th-highest pressure rate (38.5%) in the NFL.

Baltimore D/ST ($4,300) -- The Ravens also find themselves as nearly 10-point favorites at home in Saturday's showdown with the Texans. Baltimore's defense is tied for the most turnovers forced (31), and they have 10 games this season where they surrendered fewer than 20 points and recorded three-plus sacks.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.