Chattanooga vs Mercer Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SoCon Tournament

The No. 8 seed Mercer Bears (14-18, 6-12 SoCon) will square off in the SoCon tournament against the No. 1 seed Chattanooga Mocs (23-8, 15-3 SoCon) on Saturday at Harrah's Cherokee Center Asheville, starting at 12 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Chattanooga vs. Mercer Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 8, 2025
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Asheville, North Carolina
• Arena: Harrah's Cherokee Center Asheville

Chattanooga vs. Mercer Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Chattanooga win (78.5%)

Chattanooga is a 10.5-point favorite over Mercer on Saturday and the over/under has been set at 151.5 points. Below are some betting insights and trends to help you make an informed wager on the game.

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Chattanooga vs. Mercer: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Chattanooga is 18-11-0 ATS this season.
• Mercer has put together a 15-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
• As a 10.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Mercer is 1-1 against the spread compared to the 5-3 ATS record Chattanooga puts up as a 10.5-point favorite.
• The Mocs have a worse record against the spread in home games (7-7-0) than they do in road games (11-4-0).
• The Bears have performed better against the spread at home (6-5-0) than on the road (7-9-0) this year.
• Chattanooga has 12 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this season.
• Mercer has eight wins against the spread in 19 SoCon games this year.

Chattanooga vs. Mercer: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Chattanooga has been the moneyline favorite in 20 games this season and has come away with the win 16 times (80%) in those contests.
• The Mocs have yet to lose in eight games when named as moneyline favorite of -610 or better.
• Mercer has a 3-16 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 15.8% of those games).
• The Bears have played as a moneyline underdog of +440 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
• Chattanooga has an implied victory probability of 85.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Chattanooga vs. Mercer Head-to-Head Comparison

• Chattanooga is outscoring opponents by 6.9 points per game with a +215 scoring differential overall. It puts up 79 points per game (61st in college basketball) and gives up 72.1 per contest (188th in college basketball).
• Honor Huff is 272nd in college basketball with a team-high 14.9 points per game.
• Mercer outscores opponents by 1.3 points per game (posting 76.6 points per game, 103rd in college basketball, and conceding 75.3 per contest, 279th in college basketball) and has a +41 scoring differential.
• Mercer's leading scorer, Ahmad Robinson, ranks 106th in college basketball, putting up 17.1 points per game.
• The Mocs record 30.2 rebounds per game (285th in college basketball) compared to the 30 of their opponents.
• Frank Champion averages 4.7 rebounds per game (ranking 718th in college basketball) to lead the Mocs.
• The Bears record 36 rebounds per game (21st in college basketball), compared to the 35.6 of their opponents.
• Alex Holt's 6.8 rebounds per game lead the Bears and rank 191st in the country.
• Chattanooga ranks 19th in college basketball by averaging 104.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 247th in college basketball, allowing 95.7 points per 100 possessions.
• The Bears' 92.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 267th in college basketball, and the 91.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 121st in college basketball.

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