Butler vs Providence Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 9 seed Butler Bulldogs (13-18, 6-14 Big East) and the No. 8 seed Providence Friars (12-19, 6-14 Big East) will try to advance in the Big East tournament on Wednesday as they square off at 4 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Butler vs. Providence Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

Butler vs. Providence Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Butler win (57.3%)

Before you decide to wager on Butler-Providence contest (in which Butler is a 1.5-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 147.5 points), below are some betting insights and trends for Wednesday's game.

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Butler vs. Providence: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Butler is 15-16-0 ATS this season.
• Providence has covered 14 times in 31 matchups with a spread this season.
• Providence covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point underdog or more 57.9% of the time. That's more often than Butler covers as a favorite of 1.5 or more (46.2%).
• When playing at home, the Bulldogs own a worse record against the spread (7-10-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (6-5-0).
• Against the spread, the Friars have had better results on the road (6-5-0) than at home (7-9-0).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Butler is 10-10-0 this season.
• Against the spread in Big East games, Providence is 10-10-0 this year.

Butler vs. Providence: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Butler has been the moneyline favorite in 12 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (83.3%) in those contests.
• The Bulldogs have a win-loss record of 10-2 when favored by -125 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Providence has won three of the 18 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (16.7%).
• The Friars have gone 2-14 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +104 or longer (12.5%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Butler has a 55.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Butler vs. Providence Head-to-Head Comparison

• Butler scores 74.4 points per game (158th in college basketball) and gives up 73.8 (236th in college basketball) for a +16 scoring differential overall.
• Jahmyl Telfort's 16.2 points per game lead Butler and rank 173rd in college basketball.
• Providence has a -31 scoring differential, putting up 71.4 points per game (250th in college basketball) and giving up 72.4 (199th in college basketball).
• Bensley Joseph is ranked 541st in the nation with a team-high 12.9 points per game.
• The Bulldogs are 159th in college basketball at 32.3 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.3 their opponents average.
• Andre Screen averages 6.1 rebounds per game (ranking 300th in college basketball) to lead the Bulldogs.
• The Friars are 114th in the country at 33.0 rebounds per game. That's 3.3 more than the 29.7 their opponents average.
• Oswin Erhunmwunse is 480th in college basketball with 5.4 rebounds per game, leading the Friars.
• Butler averages 98.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (101st in college basketball), and allows 98.1 points per 100 possessions (305th in college basketball).
• The Friars rank 211th in college basketball with 94.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 252nd defensively with 95.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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