Butler vs Providence Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 9 seed Butler Bulldogs (13-18, 6-14 Big East) square off in the Big East tournament against the No. 8 seed Providence Friars (12-19, 6-14 Big East) on Wednesday at Madison Square Garden, starting at 4 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Butler vs. Providence Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

Butler vs. Providence Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Butler win (57.8%)

Before making an informed wager on Butler-Providence contest (in which Butler is a 1.5-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 147.5 points), keep reading for some betting trends and insights for Wednesday's game.

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Butler vs. Providence: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Butler has compiled a 15-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• Providence has put together a 14-17-0 record against the spread this year.
• Butler (6-7) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (46.2%) than Providence (11-8) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (57.9%).
• Against the spread, the Bulldogs have fared worse at home, covering seven times in 17 home games, and six times in 11 road games.
• Against the spread, the Friars have had better results on the road (6-5-0) than at home (7-9-0).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Butler is 10-10-0 this season.
• Providence has 10 wins against the spread in 20 Big East games this year.

Butler vs. Providence: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Butler has been victorious in 10, or 83.3%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Bulldogs have a win-loss record of 10-2 when favored by -126 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Providence has won three of the 18 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (16.7%).
• The Friars have a 2-14 record (winning only 12.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
• Butler has an implied victory probability of 55.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Butler vs. Providence Head-to-Head Comparison

• Butler averages 74.4 points per game (158th in college basketball) while giving up 73.8 per contest (236th in college basketball). It has a +16 scoring differential overall.
• Jahmyl Telfort paces Butler, putting up 16.2 points per game (173rd in the nation).
• Providence scores 71.4 points per game (250th in college basketball) and concedes 72.4 (199th in college basketball) for a -31 scoring differential overall.
• Providence's leading scorer, Bensley Joseph, is 541st in the nation, scoring 12.9 points per game.
• The Bulldogs rank 159th in the nation at 32.3 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.3 their opponents average.
• Andre Screen averages 6.1 rebounds per game (ranking 300th in college basketball) to lead the Bulldogs.
• The 33 rebounds per game the Friars accumulate rank 114th in the nation, 3.3 more than the 29.7 their opponents collect.
• Oswin Erhunmwunse is 480th in college basketball with 5.4 rebounds per game, leading the Friars.
• Butler's 98.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 101st in college basketball, and the 98.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 305th in college basketball.
• The Friars average 94.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (211th in college basketball), and concede 95.9 points per 100 possessions (252nd in college basketball).

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