Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 16

Bucks vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Sunday, March 16, 2025
• Time: 9 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fiserv Forum -- Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Coverage: ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK

The Milwaukee Bucks (38-28) will look to Giannis Antetokounmpo (second in the league scoring 30.6 points per game) when they try to knock off Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (first in the NBA with 33 PPG) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (55-12) on Sunday, March 16, 2025 at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks are 5.5-point home underdogs in the matchup, which starts at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK. The matchup has an over/under of 232.5.

Bucks vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (54.6%)

Bucks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 42-24-1 against the spread this season.
• The Bucks have played 66 games, with 31 wins against the spread.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 36 times out of 66 chances this season.
• Bucks games this season have gone over the point total 35 times in 66 opportunities (53%).
• Oklahoma City has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 22 times in 34 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered 20 times in 33 opportunities in road games.
• The Thunder have eclipsed the over/under in 20 of 34 home games (58.8%), compared to 16 of 33 road games (48.5%).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, Milwaukee has a better winning percentage at home (.571, 20-14-1 record) than away (.355, 11-20-0).
• Bucks games have gone above the over/under more often at home (19 times out of 35) than on the road (16 of 31) this year.

Thunder Leaders

• Gilgeous-Alexander averages 33 points, 5.1 rebounds and 6.2 assists.
• Jalen Williams averages 21.3 points, 5.5 rebounds and 5.3 assists, shooting 47.8% from the field and 36.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 made treys per game.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.1 points, 11.1 boards and 3.9 assists.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 9.9 points, 4.2 boards and 1.6 assists.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 8.1 points, 2.5 assists and 3.4 rebounds.

Bucks Leaders

• Antetokounmpo averages 30.6 points, 12.1 rebounds and 5.9 assists. He is also sinking 60.5% of his shots from the floor (eighth in NBA).
• The Bucks are receiving 25.2 points, 4.8 boards and 7.2 assists per game from Damian Lillard.
• The Bucks receive 12.6 points per game from Brook Lopez, plus 5 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
• The Bucks are getting 14.6 points, 6.2 boards and 2.3 assists per game from Kyle Kuzma.
• Kevin Porter Jr. averages 9.5 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists. He is making 44% of his shots from the field.

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