Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 21

Bucks vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fiserv Forum -- Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Coverage: ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK

The Milwaukee Bucks (18-24) are 9.5-point underdogs against the Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) at Fiserv Forum on Wednesday, January 21, 2026. The game tips at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK. The over/under is set at 225.5 for the matchup.

Bucks vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (72.7%)

Bucks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have compiled a 22-22-0 record against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Bucks are 19-23-0 this year.
• This season, 23 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total out of 42 chances.
• Bucks games this year have gone over the total in 16 of 42 opportunities (38.1%).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread in home games (12-11-0) than it has in road tilts (10-11-0).
• The Thunder have hit the over on the total in a lower percentage of games at home (52.2%) than away games (52.4%).
• Milwaukee has performed better against the spread away (11-12-0) than at home (8-11-0) this year.
• Bucks games have finished above the over/under more often at home (nine times out of 19) than away (seven of 23) this season.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points, 6.2 assists and 4.3 rebounds.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 18 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 2 blocked shots (third in NBA).
• Ajay Mitchell is averaging 14 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Cason Wallace is averaging 7.3 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 10.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.

Bucks Leaders

• Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 28.5 points, 9.8 boards and 5.5 assists. He is also draining 64.5% of his shots from the floor (fifth in league).
• The Bucks get 16.2 points per game from Ryan Rollins, plus 4.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists.
• The Bucks are getting 12.2 points, 5.3 boards and 1.6 assists per game from Myles Turner.
• The Bucks get 13.1 points per game from Bobby Portis, plus 6.4 rebounds and 1.3 assists.
• The Bucks get 12.6 points per game from Kyle Kuzma, plus 4.5 boards and 2.2 assists.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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