Brewers vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for NLDS Game 1 on Oct. 4

Odds updated as of 3:11 p.m.
The Sunday schedule in the MLB includes a matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres in Game 2 of the NLDS.
Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Brewers vs Padres Game Info
- Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) vs. San Diego Padres (91-71)
- Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
- Time: 4 p.m. ET
- Venue: American Family Field -- Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- Coverage: Fox Sports 1
Brewers vs Padres Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: MIL: (-200) | SD: (+180)
- Spread: MIL: -1.5 (+105) | SD: +1.5 (-126)
- Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-144) | Under: (+118)
Brewers vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Logan Henderson (Brewers) - 11-3, 2.47 ERA vs Michael King (Padres) - 12-10, 3.21 ERA
The probable pitchers are Logan Henderson (11-3, 2.47 ERA) for the Brewers and Michael King (12-10, 3.21 ERA) for the Padres. When Henderson starts, his team is 10-8-0 against the spread this season. Henderson's team has a record of 12-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Padres have a 13-20-0 ATS record in King's 33 starts that had a set spread. The Padres are 4-7 in King's 11 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
Brewers vs Padres Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Brewers win (57.7%)
Brewers vs Padres Moneyline
- The moneyline numbers for Brewers vs. Padres reveal Milwaukee as the favorite (-200) and San Diego as the underdog (+180) on the road.
Brewers vs Padres Spread
- The Padres are +1.5 on the run line against the Brewers. The Padres are -126 to cover, and the Brewers are +105.
Brewers vs Padres Over/Under
- A total of 6.5 runs has been set for the Brewers-Padres contest on Oct. 4, with the over available at -144 and the under at +118.
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Brewers vs Padres Betting Trends
- The Brewers have won in 83, or 65.9%, of the 126 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- This season Milwaukee has been victorious 19 times in 24 chances when named as a favorite of at least -200 on the moneyline.
- The Brewers and their opponents have hit the over in 71 of their 162 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Brewers are 84-78-0 against the spread in their 162 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Padres have won 48.7% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (38-40).
- San Diego has gone 2-4 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +180 or longer (33.3%).
- In the 165 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Padres, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-84-3).
- The Padres have a 97-68-0 record ATS this season (covering 58.8% of the time).
Brewers Player Leaders
- Brice Turang leads Milwaukee with a slugging percentage of .452, fueled by 61 extra-base hits. He has a .270 batting average and an on-base percentage of .367.
- Among all qualifying hitters, he is 41st in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 19th, and he is 47th in slugging.
- William Contreras has 27 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 61 walks. He's batting .270 and slugging .417 with an on-base percentage of .341.
- He ranks 41st in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 77th in slugging in the majors.
- Contreras has picked up at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a home run, three walks and four RBIs.
- Jackson Chourio leads Milwaukee with 152 hits. He is batting .291 this season and 52 of his hits have gone for extra bases.
- Chourio has picked up a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .364 with three home runs, five walks and 10 RBIs.
- Jake Bauers leads Milwaukee with an OBP of .389 this season while batting .266 with 94 walks and 93 runs scored.
- Bauers takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a double, a walk and three RBIs.
Padres Player Leaders
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has put up a team-high .470 slugging percentage. He's batting .289 with an on-base percentage of .358.
- He ranks 13th in batting average, 36th in on-base percentage and 34th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the big leagues.
- Jackson Merrill is batting .254 with 26 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 41 walks. He's slugging .440 with an on-base percentage of .303.
- Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 74th in batting average, 113th in on-base percentage and 56th in slugging percentage.
- Manny Machado is batting .217 with 22 doubles, 30 home runs and 76 walks.
- Xander Bogaerts has 18 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 77 walks while hitting .231.
Brewers vs Padres Head to Head
- 10/3/2026: 3-2 MIL (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -200, Underdog Moneyline: +180)
- 8/12/2026: 4-3 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 8/11/2026: 11-2 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 8/10/2026: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 5/14/2026: 7-1 MIL (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 5/13/2026: 3-1 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
- 5/12/2026: 6-4 MIL (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 9/24/2025: 3-1 MIL (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 9/23/2025: 7-0 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 9/22/2025: 5-4 SD (Favorite: Brewers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
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