Braves vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 11

Odds updated as of 12:11 a.m.

In MLB action on Sunday, the Atlanta Braves take on the Pittsburgh Pirates.

We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info about this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Braves vs Pirates Game Info

• Atlanta Braves (19-20) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (13-27)
• Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
• Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Venue: PNC Park -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Coverage: MLB Network, SportsNet PT, and FDSSO

Braves vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: ATL: (-210) | PIT: (+176)
• Spread: ATL: -1.5 (-118) | PIT: +1.5 (-102)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Braves vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale (Braves) - 1-3, 4.07 ERA vs Carmen Mlodzinski (Pirates) - 1-3, 6.16 ERA

The Braves will look to Chris Sale (1-3) versus the Pirates and Carmen Mlodzinski (1-3). Sale and his team are 2-6-0 ATS this season when he starts. Sale's team has won 57.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-3). The Pirates have a 3-4-0 record against the spread in Mlodzinski's starts. The Pirates are 2-5 in Mlodzinski's seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Braves vs Pirates Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Braves win (61.1%)

Braves vs Pirates Moneyline

• Pittsburgh is the underdog, +176 on the moneyline, while Atlanta is a -210 favorite despite being on the road.

Braves vs Pirates Spread

• The Braves are at the Pirates and are favored by 1.5 runs (-118 to cover) on the runline. Pittsburgh is -102 to cover.

Braves vs Pirates Over/Under

• A total of 8 runs has been set for the Braves-Pirates contest on May 11, with the over available at -114 and the under at -106.

Bet on Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on FanDuel today!

Braves vs Pirates Betting Trends

• The Braves have won in 16, or 57.1%, of the 28 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season Atlanta has been victorious four times in six chances when named as a favorite of at least -210 on the moneyline.
• The Braves' games have gone over the total in 15 of their 38 opportunities.
• In 38 games with a line this season, the Braves have a mark of 18-20-0 against the spread.
• The Pirates have gone 8-17 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 32% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +176 or longer, Pittsburgh has gone 1-2 (33.3%).
• The Pirates have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 17 times this season for a 17-21-1 record against the over/under.
• The Pirates have collected a 14-25-0 record against the spread this season (covering only 35.9% of the time).

Braves Player Leaders

• Matt Olson is batting .221 with five doubles, seven home runs and 28 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .353 and a slugging percentage of .407.
• Among qualified batters in baseball, his batting average ranks 127th, his on-base percentage ranks 49th, and he is 84th in slugging.
• Marcell Ozuna has 33 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .424. He's batting .268 and slugging .431.
• Among qualified hitters, he is 56th in batting average, third in on-base percentage and 64th in slugging percentage.
• Ozzie Albies has collected 34 base hits, an OBP of .276 and a slugging percentage of .340 this season.
• Austin Riley leads Atlanta with 46 hits and a team-best slugging percentage of .475.

Pirates Player Leaders

• Oneil Cruz has a team-high OBP (.369), while leading the Pirates in hits (31). He's batting .238 and slugging.
• He is 106th in batting average, 34th in on-base percentage and 49th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the big leagues.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .250 with seven doubles, three home runs and 15 walks. He's slugging .393 with an on-base percentage of .344.
• Including all qualified players, he ranks 82nd in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage and 95th in slugging percentage.
• Bryan Reynolds is hitting .215 with five doubles, five home runs and 13 walks.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes' .305 slugging percentage leads his team.

Braves vs Pirates Head to Head

• 5/10/2025: 3-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 5/9/2025: 3-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 6/30/2024: 4-2 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 6/29/2024: 2-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 6/28/2024: 6-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)
• 5/26/2024: 8-1 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -230, Underdog Moneyline: +190)
• 5/25/2024: 4-1 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 5/24/2024: 11-5 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: +152, Underdog Moneyline: N/A)
• 9/10/2023: 5-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -270, Underdog Moneyline: +220)
• 9/9/2023: 8-4 PIT (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -215, Underdog Moneyline: +180)

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