Braves vs Phillies Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for NL Wild Card Game 1 on Sept. 29

Odds updated as of 2:11 p.m.
The Atlanta Braves versus the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series is on the MLB schedule for Tuesday.
We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information regarding this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Braves vs Phillies Game Info
- Atlanta Braves (94-68) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (88-74)
- Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
- Time: 2 p.m. ET
- Venue: Truist Park -- Atlanta, Georgia
- Coverage: NBC/Peacock
Braves vs Phillies Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: ATL: (-178) | PHI: (+150)
- Spread: ATL: -1.5 (+132) | PHI: +1.5 (-160)
- Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-130) | Under: (+106)
Braves vs Phillies Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale (Braves) - 14-9, 2.16 ERA vs Jesús Luzardo (Phillies) - 14-5, 2.86 ERA
The Braves will call on Chris Sale (14-9, 2.16 ERA) versus the Phillies and Jesus Luzardo (14-5, 2.86 ERA). Sale's team is 13-13-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Sale's team has been victorious in 63.6% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 14-8. The Phillies have a 15-14-0 ATS record in Luzardo's 29 starts with a set spread. The Phillies have been the moneyline underdog in three of Luzardo's starts this season, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
Braves vs Phillies Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Braves win (53.6%)
Braves vs Phillies Moneyline
- Atlanta is the favorite, -178 on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is a +150 underdog on the road.
Braves vs Phillies Spread
- The Braves are hosting the Phillies and are favored by 1.5 runs (+132 to cover) on the runline. Philadelphia is -160 to cover.
Braves vs Phillies Over/Under
- A combined run total of 6.5 has been set for Braves-Phillies on Sept. 29, with the over at -130 and the under at +106.
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Braves vs Phillies Betting Trends
- The Braves have been favorites in 110 games this season and have come away with the win 69 times (62.7%) in those contests.
- Atlanta has a record of 14-7 when favored by -178 or more this year.
- Contests with the Braves have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 72 of 156 chances this season.
- The Braves are 81-75-0 against the spread in their 156 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Phillies have gone 11-27 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 28.9% of those games).
- Philadelphia has not won a game when it entered play as a moneyline underdog with odds of +150 or longer in four chances.
- In the 156 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 75 times (75-76-5).
- The Phillies have covered 42.3% of their games this season, going 66-90-0 ATS.
Braves Player Leaders
- Matt Olson leads Atlanta with 157 hits, batting .251 this season with 75 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .321 and a slugging percentage of .502.
- Among all qualified hitters in MLB, he is 78th in batting average, 84th in on-base percentage, and 14th in slugging.
- Michael Harris II leads Atlanta in slugging percentage (.491) thanks to 63 extra-base hits. He's batting .294 with an on-base percentage of .321.
- He is ninth in batting average, 84th in on-base percentage and 19th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
- Ozzie Albies has collected 146 base hits, an OBP of .293 and a slugging percentage of .392 this season.
- Drake Baldwin leads Atlanta with an OBP of .358 this season while batting .284 with 55 walks and 85 runs scored.
Phillies Player Leaders
- Bryce Harper has an on-base percentage of .380, a team-best for the Phillies. He's batting .269 and slugging .485.
- Including all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, his batting average ranks 44th, his on-base percentage ranks 10th, and he is 23rd in slugging.
- Harper brings a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
- Luis Arraez leads his team with a .419 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .310 with an on-base percentage of .345.
- He ranks third in batting average, 51st in on-base percentage and 74th in slugging percentage in MLB.
- Kyle Schwarber has racked up 135 hits, a team-high for the Phillies.
- Bryson Stott is batting .256 with 36 doubles, six triples, 10 home runs and 62 walks.
Braves vs Phillies Head to Head
- 9/13/2026: 9-4 PHI (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 9/12/2026: 12-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 9/7/2026: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
- 9/6/2026: 5-4 ATL (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
- 9/5/2026: 4-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
- 9/4/2026: 5-2 ATL (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 4/26/2026: 6-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -215, Underdog Moneyline: +180)
- 4/25/2026: 8-5 PHI (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 4/24/2026: 5-3 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
- 4/19/2026: 4-2 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
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