Bradley vs Valparaiso Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MVC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Bradley Braves (25-7, 15-5 MVC) face off against the No. 11 seed Valparaiso Beacons (15-18, 6-14 MVC) in the MVC tournament Saturday at Enterprise Center, tipping off at 6 p.m. ET. Both teams will try to get one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Bradley vs. Valparaiso Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Saturday, March 8, 2025
- Game time: 6 p.m. ET
- TV channel: CBS Sports Network
- Location: St. Louis, Missouri
- Arena: Enterprise Center
Bradley vs. Valparaiso Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Bradley win (80.8%)
Check out the betting insights and trends below before making a bet on Saturday's Bradley-Valparaiso spread (Bradley -9.5) or over/under (139.5 points).
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Bradley vs. Valparaiso: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Bradley has compiled a 14-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Valparaiso has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 15 times.
- Bradley (2-4) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 9.5 points or more this season (33.3%) than Valparaiso (3-3) does as a 9.5+-point underdog (50%).
- The Braves have done a better job covering the spread on the road (6-5-0) than they have in home games (5-10-0).
- Against the spread, the Beacons have had better results on the road (7-6-0) than at home (7-8-0).
- Bradley's record against the spread in conference action is 10-11-0.
- Valparaiso has 12 wins against the spread in 22 MVC games this year.
Bradley vs. Valparaiso: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Bradley has won in 22, or 84.6%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
- The Braves have yet to lose in six games when named as moneyline favorite of -490 or better.
- Valparaiso has won seven of the 21 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%).
- The Beacons have played six times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +365 or longer, and lost each game.
- Bradley has an implied victory probability of 83.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Bradley vs. Valparaiso Head-to-Head Comparison
- Bradley averages 77.9 points per game (80th in college basketball) while giving up 69.1 per outing (92nd in college basketball). It has a +283 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 8.8 points per game.
- Duke Deen's 14.2 points per game lead Bradley and are 348th in the nation.
- Valparaiso scores 75 points per game (144th in college basketball) and allows 74 (240th in college basketball) for a +31 scoring differential overall.
- Cooper Schwieger is ranked 209th in college basketball with a team-high 15.7 points per game.
- The Braves pull down 31.7 rebounds per game (189th in college basketball) while allowing 30.5 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.2 boards per game.
- Darius Hannah leads the team with 5.8 rebounds per game (368th in college basketball action).
- The Beacons rank 238th in the country at 31 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.8 their opponents average.
- Schwieger paces the team with 7.8 rebounds per game (73rd in college basketball).
- Bradley's 103.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 29th in college basketball, and the 91.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 133rd in college basketball.
- The Beacons average 97.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (136th in college basketball), and give up 96.2 points per 100 possessions (261st in college basketball).
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